Stal Mielec vs GKS Tychy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
81
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
149
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
68
Corner kicks
23
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1811
Throw ins
1122
Fouls
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 11', Pisek J. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kruszelnicki P. , Nunez C. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Cybulski K. , Kruszelnicki P. (A),
  • 28', 3 - 0, Nunez C. , Cybulski K. (A),
  • 38', Wuwer J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sandoval D. , Blachewicz M. ,
  • 46', Lipkowski K. , Welniak K. ,
  • 48', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
  • 48', Listkowski M. 🟨,
  • 58', Wuwer J. , Lysiak P. ,
  • 58', Listkowski M. , Szpakowski M. ,
  • 62', Kruszelnicki P. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Gerbowski F. ,
  • 71', Cybulski K. , Kowalski J. ,
  • 71', Pisek J. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 73', Krawczyk P. , Rumin D. ,
  • 75', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
  • 80', Nunez C. , Tsykalo Y. ,
  • 81', Fucak K. , Lukic D. ,
  • 90+3', Baranski B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
41.7%
Draw
26.4%
GKS Tychy
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 25.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 24.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.44)
    3.5
    (3.54)
    2.89
    (2.51)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 60%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Stal Mielec (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, Stal Mielec has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy were as follows:
    25.08.2025 GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec 0:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of GKS Tychy
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla27168361:273456
    2Slask Wroclaw27138651:401147
    3Chrobry Glogow27136839:261345
    4Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    5Ruch Chorzow27119741:37442
    6LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    7Polonia Warszawa27118843:39441
    8Wieczysta Krakow26117852:401240
    9Legnica27117945:45040
    10S. Rzeszow271161040:42-239
    11Puszcza27911737:33438
    12Polonia Bytom26107940:33737
    13Odra Opole27810927:33-634
    14Pogon Siedlce27791127:31-430
    15Stal Mielec27751537:52-1526
    16Pruszkow27651629:52-2323
    17Leczna273111332:49-1720
    18Tychy27361831:60-2915

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2