Stal Mielec vs GKS Tychy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
81
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
149
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
68
Corner kicks
23
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1811
Throw ins
1122
Fouls
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 11', Pisek J. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kruszelnicki P. , Nunez C. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Cybulski K. , Kruszelnicki P. (A),
  • 28', 3 - 0, Nunez C. , Cybulski K. (A),
  • 38', Wuwer J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sandoval D. , Blachewicz M. ,
  • 46', Lipkowski K. , Welniak K. ,
  • 48', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
  • 48', Listkowski M. 🟨,
  • 58', Wuwer J. , Lysiak P. ,
  • 58', Listkowski M. , Szpakowski M. ,
  • 62', Kruszelnicki P. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Gerbowski F. ,
  • 71', Cybulski K. , Kowalski J. ,
  • 71', Pisek J. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 73', Krawczyk P. , Rumin D. ,
  • 75', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
  • 80', Nunez C. , Tsykalo Y. ,
  • 81', Fucak K. , Lukic D. ,
  • 90+3', Baranski B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
41.7%
Draw
26.4%
GKS Tychy
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 25.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 24.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.44)
    3.5
    (3.54)
    2.89
    (2.51)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 60%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Stal Mielec (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, Stal Mielec has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy were as follows:
    25.08.2025 GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec 0:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of GKS Tychy
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2