Stal Mielec vs GKS Tychy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
06/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
81
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
149
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
68
Corner kicks
23
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1811
Throw ins
1122
Fouls
716

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 11', Pisek J. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kruszelnicki P. , Nunez C. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 0, Cybulski K. , Kruszelnicki P. (A),
  • 28', 3 - 0, Nunez C. , Cybulski K. (A),
  • 38', Wuwer J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sandoval D. , Blachewicz M. ,
  • 46', Lipkowski K. , Welniak K. ,
  • 48', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
  • 48', Listkowski M. 🟨,
  • 58', Wuwer J. , Lysiak P. ,
  • 58', Listkowski M. , Szpakowski M. ,
  • 62', Kruszelnicki P. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Gerbowski F. ,
  • 71', Cybulski K. , Kowalski J. ,
  • 71', Pisek J. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 73', Krawczyk P. , Rumin D. ,
  • 75', Szpakowski M. 🟨,
  • 80', Nunez C. , Tsykalo Y. ,
  • 81', Fucak K. , Lukic D. ,
  • 90+3', Baranski B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
41.7%
Draw
26.4%
GKS Tychy
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 25.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 24.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.44)
    3.5
    (3.54)
    2.89
    (2.51)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 60%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Stal Mielec (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, Stal Mielec has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - GKS Tychy were as follows:
    25.08.2025 GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec 0:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of GKS Tychy
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2