Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 12
- Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 🟨,
- 36', Callacher J. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Malone J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Crowe J. 🟨,
- 55', Crowe J. ↓, Cherry K. ↑,
- 74', Gibson D. 🟨,
- 76', Steele A. ↓, James C. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Glenavon
36.4% | Draw
28.9% | Carrick Rangers
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Glenavon's performance.Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carrick Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrick Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Glenavon - Carrick Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(3.11) |
3.54 ↑
(3.43) |
2.95 ↑
(2.21) |
-2.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Glenavon - Carrick Rangers?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Glenavon will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Carrick Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 2.
- Glenavon has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Carrick Rangers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Carrick Rangers will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:28. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Carrick Rangers?
Glenavon has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrick Rangers won against Glenavon?
Carrick Rangers has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Glenavon - Carrick Rangers were as follows:
16.08.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Glenavon
1:0
26.04.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Glenavon
0:4
25.01.2025
Glenavon
-
Carrick Rangers
2:1
26.10.2024
Glenavon
-
Carrick Rangers
1:1
10.08.2024
Carrick Rangers
-
Glenavon
2:0
Latest results of Glenavon
Latest results of Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coleraine | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 25 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Larne | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:4 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Bangor FC | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
| 5 | Linfield | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Ballymena | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Portadown | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 15 |
| 8 | Dungannon | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
| 9 | Carrick Rangers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Cliftonville | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Crusaders | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Glenavon | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4:23 | -19 | 3 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
