Result
2:1
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 28
- Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Heatley P. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, McCullough L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Quinn N. 🟥,
- 76', 2 - 1, Campbell P. ⚽,
- 87', Pengelly S. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carrick Rangers
55.8% | Draw
23.3% | Glenavon
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Carrick Rangers - Glenavon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.62) |
3.97 ↑
(3.89) |
4.4 ↓
(4.74) |
8.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Carrick Rangers - Glenavon?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Carrick Rangers (votes: 2 - 50%). Glenavon (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Carrick Rangers will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 1.
- Carrick Rangers is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Glenavon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Glenavon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Glenavon has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Carrick Rangers is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Carrick Rangers will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carrick Rangers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrick Rangers won against Glenavon?
Carrick Rangers has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Carrick Rangers?
Glenavon has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrick Rangers - Glenavon were as follows:
18.10.2025
Glenavon
-
Carrick Rangers
1:0
16.08.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Glenavon
1:0
26.04.2025
Carrick Rangers
-
Glenavon
0:4
25.01.2025
Glenavon
-
Carrick Rangers
2:1
26.10.2024
Glenavon
-
Carrick Rangers
1:1
Latest results of Carrick Rangers
Latest results of Glenavon
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Glentoran ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 62:29 | 33 | 68 |
| 3 | Coleraine ✔ | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 61:30 | 31 | 64 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 56:22 | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 47:46 | 1 | 46 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 32 | 15 | 1 | 16 | 40:57 | -17 | 46 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers ✔ | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 47:51 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Portadown ✔ | 32 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 36:57 | -21 | 35 |
| 9 | Ballymena ✔ | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:48 | -11 | 33 |
| 10 | Bangor FC ✔ | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 11 | Glenavon ✔ | 32 | 8 | 1 | 23 | 33:60 | -27 | 25 |
| 12 | Crusaders ✔ | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 38:72 | -34 | 25 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Carrick Rangers is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Portadown is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
