Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 38
  • Referee: Robinson J. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
23
Corner kicks
57
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
76
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Snoddy M. 🟨,
  • 37', Cherry K. 🟨,
  • 41', Donnelly L. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Burns P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', McCawl E. , Moore J. ,
  • 46', Cherry K. , Steele A. ,
  • 46', Burns B. , Callacher J. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Lecky A. ,
  • 66', Heatley P. , Gibson D. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Callacher J. ,
  • 79', Lecky A. , Waide R. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Pollock A. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Gibson D. ,

Chances of winning


Glenavon
34%
Draw
26.9%
Carrick Rangers
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 25.6% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 25.2% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Glenavon - Carrick Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.63)
    3.43
    (3.59)
    2.36
    (2.32)
    8.5%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Glenavon - Carrick Rangers?
  • Users Predictions: Carrick Rangers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 3.
    • Glenavon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Carrick Rangers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Glenavon - Carrick Rangers were as follows:
    10.02.2026 Carrick Rangers - Glenavon 2:1
    18.10.2025 Glenavon - Carrick Rangers 1:0
    16.08.2025 Carrick Rangers - Glenavon 1:0
    26.04.2025 Carrick Rangers - Glenavon 0:4
    25.01.2025 Glenavon - Carrick Rangers 2:1
    Latest results of Glenavon
    18.04.2026 Glenavon - Crusaders 0:1
    11.04.2026 Bangor - Glenavon 0:0
    04.04.2026 Glenavon - Portadown 1:1
    20.03.2026 Glenavon - Larne 0:3
    Latest results of Carrick Rangers
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AnnaghCrusaders2 : 3