Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
29
Corner Kicks
58
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Scott S. , Smith M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Wallace D. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ,
  • 65', Alves L. , Maguire T. ,
  • 70', Wilson B. , Mallon S. ,
  • 80', Malone J. 🟨,
  • 81', Dillon K. , Knowles J. ,
  • 88', Quinn N. , Kee J. ,

Chances of winning


Glenavon
24.7%
Draw
28.3%
Dungannon Swifts
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 25.1% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 24.6% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.72
    (3.42)
    3.24
    (3.67)
    1.95
    (1.92)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts?
  • Users Predictions: Dungannon Swifts will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dungannon Swifts will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1.
    • Recent performances by Glenavon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dungannon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dungannon could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon 1:0
    06.09.2025 Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts 0:2
    17.01.2025 Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon 2:3
    16.11.2024 Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon 2:0
    21.09.2024 Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts 1:1
    Latest results of Glenavon
    26.12.2025 Portadown - Glenavon 1:0
    20.12.2025 Glenavon - Linfield 2:1
    13.12.2025 Cliftonville - Glenavon 5:2
    06.12.2025 Glenavon - Bangor 1:2
    Latest results of Dungannon Swifts
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne ✔ 31207455:213467
    2Coleraine ✔ 31194860:303061
    3Linfield ✔ 31178653:213259
    4Glentoran ✔ 29185654:292559
    5Dungannon311511539:55-1646
    6Cliftonville281171044:42240
    7Carrick Rangers301171246:48-240
    8Portadown291111734:51-1734
    9Bangor FC ✔ 31961637:53-1633
    10Ballymena ✔ 30851734:46-1229
    11Crusaders ✔ 30741938:68-3025
    12Glenavon ✔ 31712330:60-3022

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )