Result
1:2
31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (416/504) | 63% (149/236) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (416/504) | 63% (149/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (43/70) | 27% (21/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (141/192) | 58% (71/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (10/43) | 4% (1/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Kahkonen S. ⚽, Bjorkskog A. (A),
- 40', Eremenko R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Europaeus G. ↓, Arko-Mensah E. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 2, Cissoko K. ⚽, Vidjeskog A. (A),
- 56', 1 - 2, Ojala J. ⚽, Ritari M. (A),
- 58', Atarah A. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 58', Bashkirov E. ↓, Vayrynen T. ↑,
- 75', Myrevik J. ↓, Bjonback A. ↑,
- 79', Kahkonen S. ↓, Valencic F. ↑,
- 86', Ritari M. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
- 86', Ojala J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kusu M. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
- 90+3', Vikstrom R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
56.2% | Draw
22.4% | FF Jaro
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gnistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-3%)
Gnistan - FF Jaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.61) |
4.19 ↓
(4.45) |
4.43 ↓
(4.84) |
6.1%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Gnistan - FF Jaro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Jaro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- Jaro is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Jaro has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Gnistan is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Gnanou R.
(Yellow Cards)
Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Ryberg M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Jaro: Gunnarsson E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jaro: Kahkonen S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against FF Jaro?
Gnistan has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against Gnistan?
FF Jaro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - FF Jaro were as follows:
24.05.2025
FF Jaro
-
Gnistan
1:1
20.08.2023
Gnistan
-
FF Jaro
1:1
19.07.2023
FF Jaro
-
Gnistan
2:2
Latest results of Gnistan
Latest results of FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Ilves | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | HJK | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 59:29 | 30 | 44 |
| 4 | KuPS | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 41 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:39 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | VPS | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Jaro | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:48 | -23 | 21 |
| 10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Haka | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 16 |
| 12 | KTP | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:55 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
