Result
0:3
18/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Nelonen, Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/387) | 84% (436/519) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (300/387) | 84% (436/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/71) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/90) | 75% (127/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Akinyemi A. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Lingman L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Europaeus G. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 2, Pukki T. ⚽, Ezeh D. (A),
- 59', Bjurstrom M. H. ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
- 59', Eremenko S. ↓, Jouhi A. ↑,
- 59', Akinyemi A. ↓, Hannula O. ↑,
- 61', Pukki T. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
- 61', Cicale A. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
- 72', Kirilov M. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
- 73', Hannula O. 🟨,
- 75', Perez D. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, Bogicevic M. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 83', Ylitolva M. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
- 83', Ezeh D. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 87', Eremenko R. ↓, Hanninen V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
19.2% | Draw
21.5% | HJK
59.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+3%)
Gnistan - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.85 ↑
(4.85) |
4.37 ↓
(4.55) |
1.58 ↑
(1.55) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Gnistan - HJK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - HJK (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HJK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, HJK is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Inactive)
Dahlstrom B.
(Inactive)
Launiala K.
(Inactive)
Lyberopoulos O.
(Inactive)
Ylatupa S.
(Inactive)
von Hellens L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T.
(Inactive)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:33. (average 0.9:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 0.8:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against HJK?
Gnistan has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against Gnistan?
HJK has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - HJK were as follows:
10.03.2026
HJK
-
Gnistan
3:0
07.02.2026
HJK
-
Gnistan
3:1
03.11.2025
Gnistan
-
HJK
2:2
03.10.2025
HJK
-
Gnistan
2:3
28.07.2025
Gnistan
-
HJK
2:4
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | KuPS | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | TPS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | VPS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | SJK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Jaro | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ilves | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Mariehamn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
