Result
2:0
13/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (140/215) | 86% (435/503) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (140/215) | 86% (435/503) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 66% (31/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/101) | 81% (154/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 26% (11/42) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Craninx A. 🟥,
- 16', Latonen J. ↓, Lyberopoulos O. ↑,
- 21', Sejdiu A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Friberg N. ↓, Gianini Dantas N. ↑,
- 51', Heiskanen S. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Pettersson O. ⚽, Vayrynen T. (A),
- 62', Sejdiu A. ↓, Lucas Cini ↑,
- 62', Sallinen O. ↓, Multanen K. ↑,
- 62', Hudd R. ↓, Da Sylva J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Vayrynen T. (Pen),
- 73', Talo N. 🟨,
- 76', Heiskanen S. ↓, Europaeus G. ↑,
- 76', Kabashi A. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 83', Ritari M. ↓, Olufunwa O. ↑,
- 85', Houston J. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
43.6% | Draw
25.2% | Haka
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gnistan - Haka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.3) |
3.69 ↓
(3.73) |
3.05 ↑
(2.71) |
6.3%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gnistan - Haka?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Haka will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 15.1% – 58.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Haka (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1.
- Recent performances by Gnistan have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Haka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gnistan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Haka: Almen M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.4:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Haka?
Gnistan has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haka won against Gnistan?
Haka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - Haka were as follows:
11.06.2025
Haka
-
Gnistan
3:2
05.04.2025
Haka
-
Gnistan
3:2
23.02.2025
Haka
-
Gnistan
2:2
26.10.2024
Haka
-
Gnistan
4:3
28.07.2024
Haka
-
Gnistan
1:2
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 36:13 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | KuPS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | HJK | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | SJK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | VPS | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 8 | Jaro | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21:33 | -12 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
