Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (630/710) | 69% (152/219) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (630/710) | 69% (152/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (208/257) | 61% (41/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Kabuye C. ↓, Kujasalo N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Engvall G. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
- 67', Perez D. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 78', Armah B. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
- 78', Hannula O. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 79', Kujasalo N. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Savolainen S. (A),
- 88', Ojala J. ↓, Marcelo Costa ↑,
- 88', Eremenko S. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 89', Eremenko R. ↓, Jouhi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
68% | Draw
18.7% | Gnistan
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.39) |
5.11 ↑
(4.93) |
7.08 ↑
(6.98) |
5.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Gnistan (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gnistan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Gnistan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, KuPS has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Gnistan has had a series of home games.
- In this match, KuPS is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Bashkirov E.
(Inactive)
Dahlstrom B.
(Inactive)
Launiala K.
(Inactive)
von Hellens L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in KuPS: Puukko A.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 3.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Gnistan?
KuPS Kuopio has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against KuPS Kuopio?
Gnistan has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan were as follows:
30.10.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
1:1
27.09.2025
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:4
01.07.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
6:2
27.04.2025
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:2
07.07.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
3:1
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | TPS | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | VPS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaro | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ilves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
