Result
6:2
01/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (426/493) | 84% (345/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.46 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (426/493) | 84% (345/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 44% (21/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (114/158) | 66% (66/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 3.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -2.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', Kabashi A. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Latonen J. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Sadiku A. ⚽, Antwi C. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Sadiku A. ⚽, Luyeye-Lutumba J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Europaeus G. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 2, Hafstad D. ⚽,
- 51', 4 - 2, Sadiku A. (Pen),
- 57', Cisse I. 🟨,
- 64', 5 - 2, Pennanen P. ⚽,
- 64', Arifi D. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
- 64', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
- 68', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, Dahlstrom B. ↑,
- 68', Pettersson O. ↓, Olufunwa O. ↑,
- 68', Latonen J. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 70', Pennanen P. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 70', Sadiku A. ↓, Hamalainen N. ↑,
- 74', Cisse I. ↓, Lotjonen A. ↑,
- 80', 6 - 2, Toure M. ⚽, Heinonen A. (A),
- 80', Heiskanen S. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
57% | Draw
23.2% | Gnistan
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.65) |
4.11 ↑
(4.03) |
4.83 ↓
(5.05) |
5.2%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%).
Users Predictions:
KuPS Kuopio will win
(32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, KuPS is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in KuPS: Hamalainen N.
(Inactive)
Pasanen S.
(Knee Injury)
Ricardo P.
(Inactive)
Voutilainen J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Gnistan: Olufunwa O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Gnistan?
KuPS Kuopio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against KuPS Kuopio?
Gnistan has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan were as follows:
27.04.2025
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:2
07.07.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
3:1
19.05.2024
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:0
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
