Result
1:1
30/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (489/564) | 79% (297/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (489/564) | 79% (297/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (43/62) | 35% (17/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (151/196) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Ruoppi O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hafstad D. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 61', Cisse I. 🟨,
- 62', Vayrynen T. (Pen),
- 67', Toure M. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
- 68', Pennanen P. ↓, Voutilainen J. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Eremenko R. (Pen),
- 76', Antwi C. ↓, Konate P. ↑,
- 76', Pasanen S. ↓, Lotjonen A. ↑,
- 76', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
- 76', Vayrynen T. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 76', Ritari M. ↓, Hanninen V. ↑,
- 81', Olufunwa O. 🟨,
- 86', Olufunwa O. ↓, Raitala J. ↑,
- 90+2', Arifi D. ↓, Ricardo P. ↑,
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
72.7% | Draw
15.6% | Gnistan
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.44) |
5.83 ↑
(4.8) |
8.19 ↑
(5.66) |
6.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 71.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 4.
- KuPS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gnistan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gnistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, KuPS has had a series of away games.
- In this match, KuPS is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
Heinonen A.
(Inactive)
Miettinen S.
(Injury)
Sadiku A.
(Yellow Cards)
Voutilainen J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Gnistan: Craninx A.
(Yellow Cards)
Gnanou R.
(Red Card)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Oura A. A.
(Inactive)
von Hellens L.
(Red Card)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:4. (average 3.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 4.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Gnistan?
KuPS Kuopio has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against KuPS Kuopio?
Gnistan has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan were as follows:
27.09.2025
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:4
01.07.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
6:2
27.04.2025
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:2
07.07.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
3:1
19.05.2024
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:0
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60:34 | 26 | 64 |
| 2 | Ilves | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65:40 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 58:33 | 25 | 58 |
| 4 | SJK | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 64:48 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | HJK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 72:48 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 45:60 | -15 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
