Result
0:4
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/356) | 85% (460/544) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/356) | 85% (460/544) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 60% (45/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (74/110) | 79% (147/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.80 | 1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Arifi D. ⚽,
- 19', 0 - 2, Toure M. ⚽, Voutilainen J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Gnanou R. 🟨,
- 60', Golubickas P. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
- 60', Pasanen S. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
- 66', Pettersson O. ↓, Olufunwa O. ↑,
- 66', Ritari M. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
- 66', Atarah A. ↓, Latonen J. ↑,
- 71', Toure M. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Pennanen P. ⚽, Voutilainen J. (A),
- 76', 0 - 4, Parzyszek P. ⚽, Ruoppi O. (A),
- 77', Vayrynen T. ↓, Ryberg M. ↑,
- 77', Eremenko R. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 81', Hamalainen T. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
- 81', Voutilainen J. ↓, Seidu S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
16.3% | Draw
12% | KuPS Kuopio
71.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gnistan's form might have worsened.KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KuPS Kuopio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gnistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-27.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KuPS Kuopio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.42 ↑
(2.78) |
13.08 ↑
(3.9) |
1.55 ↓
(2.29) |
-17.3%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio?
Users Predictions:
KuPS Kuopio will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Gnistan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KuPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gnistan has had a series of home games.
- In this match, KuPS is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Arko-Mensah E.
(Yellow Cards)
Heiskanen S.
(Yellow Cards)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Oura A. A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in KuPS: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
Antwi C.
(Inactive)
Heinonen A.
(Inactive)
Konate P.
(Inactive)
Savolainen S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.8:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against KuPS Kuopio?
Gnistan has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Gnistan?
KuPS Kuopio has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
01.07.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
6:2
27.04.2025
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:2
07.07.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
Gnistan
3:1
19.05.2024
Gnistan
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:0
Latest results of Gnistan
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 57:35 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 54:39 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | HJK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 66:37 | 29 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
