Result
1:3
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/508) | 87% (488/558) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/508) | 87% (488/558) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 41% (17/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (122/171) | 79% (103/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Pennanen P. ⚽,
- 21', Virtanen O. ↓, Krkalic F. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 2, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Ruoppi O. (A),
- 45+1', Popovitch A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bamba G. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
- 57', 0 - 3, Armah B. ⚽, Gasc V. R. (A),
- 64', Engvall G. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
- 69', Multala O. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 69', Stjopin M. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
- 73', Kabuye C. ↓, Kujasalo N. ↑,
- 84', Gasc V. R. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
- 84', Armah B. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
- 84', Riski Ro. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Hytonen T. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
Chances of winning
Ilves
35.2% | Draw
28.1% | KuPS Kuopio
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KuPS Kuopio's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KuPS Kuopio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilves - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.18) |
3.33 ↓
(3.45) |
2.58 ↓
(3.05) |
6.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ilves - KuPS Kuopio?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
KuPS Kuopio will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
- Ilves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- KuPS has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ilves could have a small edge in this match.
- There are questionable in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in KuPS: Puukko A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KuPS Kuopio?
Ilves has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Ilves?
KuPS Kuopio has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
14.02.2026
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
0:1
16.10.2025
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:1
14.09.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
2:4
14.06.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
Ilves
0:3
21.05.2025
Ilves
-
KuPS Kuopio
3:0
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | KuPS | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | TPS | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | HJK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | SJK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lahti | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | VPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Jaro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Ilves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
