Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/359) | 75% (269/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/359) | 75% (269/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 51% (40/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (51/99) | 59% (66/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ayala W. ↓, Hauche G. ↑,
- 46', Rios R. D. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 47', Benitez A. 🟨,
- 61', Vera E. 🟨,
- 65', Barrea D. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 1, Auzmendi A. ⚽, Poggi V. (A),
- 74', Santander F. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
- 80', Benitez A. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 81', Comas L. 🟨,
- 82', Abrego G. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
- 82', Altamira F. ↓, Pozzo T. A. ↑,
- 82', Quiroz L. 🟨,
- 84', Vera E. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 89', Benitez F. 🟨,
- 90', Andino S. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,
- 90+3', Poggi V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
19.6% | Draw
28.1% | Godoy Cruz
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Godoy Cruz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Godoy Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Luqueño - Godoy Cruz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.81 ↑
(3.04) |
3.35 ↑
(2.99) |
1.8 ↓
(2.48) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Godoy Cruz?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Godoy Cruz: 52.1% – 90.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Godoy Cruz will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Godoy Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Godoy Cruz could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Godoy Cruz?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Godoy Cruz won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Godoy Cruz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Godoy Cruz were as follows:
08.04.2025
Godoy Cruz
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Godoy Cruz
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
