Sportivo Luqueño vs Godoy Cruz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Sportivo Luqueño - Godoy Cruz
Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.212.24
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
74% (264/359)75% (269/358)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.212.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.32
Total shots
818
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
214
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
1033
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
74% (264/359)75% (269/358)
Long passes
50% (32/64)51% (40/78)
Passes in final third
52% (51/99)59% (66/111)
Crosses
5% (1/20)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.87
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1214
Tackles
64% (16/25)63% (5/8)
Duels won
6451
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.320.00
Goals prevented
0.400.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ayala W. , Hauche G. ,
  • 46', Rios R. D. , Gonzalez W. ,
  • 47', Benitez A. 🟨,
  • 61', Vera E. 🟨,
  • 65', Barrea D. , Auzmendi A. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Auzmendi A. , Poggi V. (A),
  • 74', Santander F. , Comas L. ,
  • 80', Benitez A. , Benitez F. ,
  • 81', Comas L. 🟨,
  • 82', Abrego G. , Leyes B. ,
  • 82', Altamira F. , Pozzo T. A. ,
  • 82', Quiroz L. 🟨,
  • 84', Vera E. , Perez M. ,
  • 89', Benitez F. 🟨,
  • 90', Andino S. , Parzajuk K. ,
  • 90+3', Poggi V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
19.6%
Draw
28.1%
Godoy Cruz
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 31.4% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 31% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.
  • Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Godoy Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Godoy Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Godoy Cruz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.81
    (3.04)
    3.35
    (2.99)
    1.8
    (2.48)
    6.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Godoy Cruz?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Godoy Cruz will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Godoy Cruz: 52.1%90.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Godoy Cruz will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Godoy Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Godoy Cruz could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Godoy Cruz were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Sportivo Luqueño 2:0
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Latest results of Godoy Cruz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2