Ceilândia vs Goianésia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Ceilândia - Goianésia
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
123
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
22
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Cordeiro Nunes K. L. ,
  • 45+5', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Ceilândia
58.6%
Draw
25.2%
Goianésia
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 21.9% 10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 20.9% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceilândia's form might have worsened.
  • Goianésia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Goianésia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceilândia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Goianésia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ceilândia - Goianésia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.34)
    3.64
    (4.13)
    5.69
    (8.85)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
    • Ceilândia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
    • In recent matches, Ceilândia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Goianésia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Ceilândia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceilândia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceilândia - Goianésia were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Goianésia - Ceilândia 1:2
    Latest results of Ceilândia
    20.07.2025 Goiânia - Ceilândia 2:2
    05.07.2025 Ceilândia - Luverdense 1:0
    14.06.2025 Aparecidense - Ceilândia 2:0
    07.06.2025 Ceilândia - Porto Velho 3:0
    Latest results of Goianésia
    19.07.2025 Goianésia - Luverdense 1:1
    12.07.2025 Aparecidense - Goianésia 2:1
    05.07.2025 Goianésia - Goiânia 1:3
    08.06.2025 Goianésia - Mixto 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0