Avaí vs Goiás – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ressacada (Florianópolis).

Serie B Superbet - Round 25
Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.13
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	9
Passes
70% (198/281)	77% (256/333)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31	1.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.98
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
11	9
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
10	10
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	9
Touches in opposition box
22	20
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
16	14
Passes
70% (198/281)	77% (256/333)
Long passes
38% (24/64)	35% (14/40)
Passes in final third
55% (46/84)	65% (70/107)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	1.21
Throw-ins
21	25
Fouls
14	16
Tackles
63% (10/16)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
56	50
Clearances
45	34
Interceptions
12	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.98	1.37
Goals prevented
-0.02	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Cleber ⚽,
32', Pedrinho ↓, Jaja ↑,
42', Freitas G. 🟨,
45', Marquinhos Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Freitas G. ↓, Welliton ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
54', Juninho 🟨,
60', JP ↓, Jamerson ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Welliton ⚽,
69', DG 🟨,
72', Emerson Negueba ↓, Hygor ↑,
79', Jamerson 🟨,
81', Tadeu 🟨,
83', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Brayann ↑,
83', Wellington Rato ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
84', Cleber ↓, Thayllon ↑,
84', DG ↓, Railan ↑,
84', Joao Vitor ↓, Anderson Jesus ↑,
88', Diego Caito ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,

Chances of winning

Avaí
42.1%

Draw
30.4%

Goiás
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.1%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avaí - Goiás Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.56)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	3.35 ↑ (2.78)	7.1% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Avaí - Goiás?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Goiás will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 35% – 88%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Goiás (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There are questionable in Avaí: JP (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Goiás?

Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Avaí?

Goiás has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Goiás were as follows:

05.05.2025 Goiás - Avaí 2:1

13.09.2024 Goiás - Avaí 2:1

27.05.2024 Avaí - Goiás 2:0

Latest results of Avaí

02.09.2025 América Mineiro - Avaí 2:0 ✺

25.08.2025 Avaí - Amazonas 1:2 ✺

19.08.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Avaí 0:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Avaí - Cuiabá 2:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Goiás

30.08.2025 Goiás - Botafogo SP 2:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Goiás - América Mineiro 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Vila Nova - Goiás 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Goiás - Operário Ferroviario 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Amazonas - Goiás 2:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Criciuma	28	14	7	7	36:21	15	49
2	Goias	28	14	7	7	34:26	8	49
3	Athletico-PR	29	14	6	9	43:36	7	48
4	Coritiba	28	13	8	7	28:19	9	47
5	Novorizontino	28	12	10	6	31:25	6	46
6	Cuiaba	28	11	9	8	34:32	2	42
7	Chapecoense-SC	28	12	5	11	38:29	9	41
8	Atletico GO	28	10	11	7	31:28	3	41
9	CRB	28	12	4	12	31:26	5	40
10	Avai	28	10	10	8	36:30	6	40
11	Operario-PR	29	10	9	10	31:28	3	39
12	Remo	28	9	12	7	29:26	3	39
13	Vila Nova FC	28	10	7	11	28:30	-2	37
14	Ferroviaria	28	7	12	9	31:35	-4	33
15	Athletic Club	28	9	5	14	29:38	-9	32
16	America MG	28	8	6	14	27:34	-7	30
17	Volta Redonda	28	7	9	12	18:29	-11	30
18	Botafogo SP	28	7	8	13	24:42	-18	29
19	Amazonas	28	6	9	13	28:41	-13	27
20	Paysandu PA	28	4	10	14	21:33	-12	22

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )