Result
2:1
05/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 6
- Referee: Santos Sa Junior F. A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/394) | 69% (164/236) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 14 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/394) | 69% (164/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (115/143) | 56% (43/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Messias 🟨,
- 11', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, JP ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Pedrinho ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
- 27', Mario Sergio 🟨,
- 30', 2 - 1, Lucas Lovat ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jonathan Costa ↓, Pedrao ↑,
- 46', Lucas Ribeiro ↓, Anthony ↑,
- 47', Mario Sergio 🟨,
- 51', Joao Vitor ↓, Railan ↑,
- 58', Lucas Lovat ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
- 61', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
- 63', Welliton 🟨,
- 72', Marcao Silva ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 76', Cleber ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 76', Alef Manga ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 81', Ze Ricardo ↓, Emerson Negueba ↑,
- 86', Juninho ↓, Rodrigo Andrade ↑,
- 86', Welliton ↓, Jaja ↑,
Chances of winning
Goiás
46.5% | Draw
31.1% | Avaí
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goiás's form might have worsened.Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goiás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Goiás - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.77) |
3 ↓
(3.37) |
4.23 ↓
(4.53) |
6.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Goiás - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Goiás (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 1.
- In recent matches, Goiás has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Goiás may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Goiás is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Goiás: Aloisio
(Inactive)
Garcia E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto
(Inactive)
Hygor
(Injury)
Joao Vitor
(Inactive)
Renan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Leo Reis
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Avaí?
Goiás has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Goiás?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Goiás - Avaí were as follows:
13.09.2024
Goiás
-
Avaí
2:1
27.05.2024
Avaí
-
Goiás
2:0
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
