Result
2:1
07/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.31 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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16 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Passes |
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70% (198/281) | 77% (256/333) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.37 | 0.98 |
Total shots |
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16 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 1 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 14 |
Passes |
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70% (198/281) | 77% (256/333) |
Long passes |
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38% (24/64) | 35% (14/40) |
Passes in final third |
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55% (46/84) | 65% (70/107) |
Crosses |
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17% (3/18) | 27% (7/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.81 | 1.21 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 25 |
Fouls |
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14 | 16 |
Tackles |
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63% (10/16) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
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56 | 50 |
Clearances |
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45 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
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0.98 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.02 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Cleber ⚽,
- 32', Pedrinho ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 42', Freitas G. 🟨,
- 45', Marquinhos Gabriel 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Freitas G. ↓, Welliton ↑,
- 52', 2 - 0, Marquinhos Gabriel ⚽,
- 54', Juninho 🟨,
- 60', JP ↓, Jamerson ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Welliton ⚽,
- 69', DG 🟨,
- 72', Emerson Negueba ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 79', Jamerson 🟨,
- 81', Tadeu 🟨,
- 83', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Brayann ↑,
- 83', Wellington Rato ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
- 84', Cleber ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 84', DG ↓, Railan ↑,
- 84', Joao Vitor ↓, Anderson Jesus ↑,
- 88', Diego Caito ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
Chances of winning
Avaí 42.1% | Draw 30.4% | Goiás 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avaí - Goiás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↓ (2.56) |
3.05 ↓ (3.08) |
3.35 ↑ (2.78) |
7.1% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avaí - Goiás?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Goiás will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goiás: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Goiás (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There are questionable in Avaí: JP
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Goiás?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Avaí?
Goiás has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Goiás were as follows:
05.05.2025
Goiás
-
Avaí
2:1
13.09.2024
Goiás
-
Avaí
2:1
27.05.2024
Avaí
-
Goiás
2:0
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )