Avaí vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Avaí
35.5%
Draw
31.1%
Grêmio Novorizontino
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 31.3% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 32% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.6)
    2.97
    (2.98)
    2.79
    (2.85)
    7.7%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    29.04.2026 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 1:2
    03.08.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 1:1
    06.04.2025 Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1
    22.10.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 2:0
    08.07.2024 Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1
    Latest results of Avaí
    18.04.2026 Avaí - Ponte Preta 1:2
    15.04.2026 Avaí - Caxias 1:0
    11.04.2026 Sport Recife - Avaí 2:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vila Nova FC633011:8312
    2Fortaleza63216:7-111
    3Sao Bernardo63128:5310
    4Criciuma63128:6210
    5Juventude63125:4110
    6Ceara62408:5310
    7Sport Recife62406:4210
    8Nautico63034:6-29
    9Operario-PR62314:319
    10Botafogo SP62229:638
    11Avai62227:618
    12Novorizontino62227:618
    13Athletic Club62228:808
    14Atletico GO62137:8-17
    15Ponte Preta62135:6-17
    16Goias62136:8-27
    17Cuiaba61413:307
    18Londrina61237:8-15
    19CRB60246:11-52
    20America MG60243:10-72

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