Result
 
                    1:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        19/10/2025 at  19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie B Superbet - Round 33
- Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Brazil | Disney+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.42 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 20 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (247/287) | 80% (243/304) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.42 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.13 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 20 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 28 | 9 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (247/287) | 80% (243/304) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 40% (22/55) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 76% (77/101) | 63% (44/70) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 14% (5/37) | 10% (1/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.10 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 16 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 29% (4/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 37 | 41 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 17 | 32 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 11 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.28 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.72 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Clar W. (Pen), 
- 45+1', Marcinho 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rodrigo Andrade ↓, Brayann ↑, 
- 52', 0 - 2, Marcinho ⚽, Giovanni Augusto (A), 
- 59', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑, 
- 59', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑, 
- 60', Juninho ↓, Rafael Gava ↑, 
- 60', Jaja ↓, Welliton ↑, 
- 62', Messias 🟨, 
- 66', Diego Caito ↓, Baldoria ↑, 
- 69', 1 - 2, Anselmo Ramon ⚽, Brayann (A), 
- 77', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑, 
- 77', Everton ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑, 
- 87', 1 - 3, Italo ⚽, Marcinho (A), 
- 88', Wellington Rato ↓, Jean Carlos ↑, 
- 90', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Bruno Leonardo ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Goiás 53.9%
 | Draw 27.2%
 | Chapecoense 18.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Goiás - Chapecoense Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.75 ↓ (1.82)
 | 3.5 ↑ (3.28)
 | 4.89 ↑ (4.4)
 | 6% (8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Goiás - Chapecoense?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            5 users predict this event. Goiás will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 3.
- Goiás has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chapecoense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Goiás may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Goiás is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Goiás: Arthur Caike
(Muscle Injury)
Lucas Lovat
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan
(Injury)
Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
David Antunes
(Yellow Cards)
Getulio
(Injury)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Martins
(Yellow Cards)
Vinicius Balieiro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Goiás: Garcia E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Marlon
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Goiás won against Chapecoense?
                    
                    
                        
                            Goiás has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Goiás?
                    
                    
                        
                             Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Goiás - Chapecoense were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.06.2025 
                                Chapecoense 
                                - 
                                Goiás 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                21.10.2024 
                                Chapecoense 
                                - 
                                Goiás 
                                0:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.07.2024 
                                Goiás 
                                - 
                                Chapecoense 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Chapecoense                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 | 
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 | 
| 3 | Goias | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 55 | 
| 4 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 | 
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 | 
| 6 | Criciuma | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:32 | 12 | 54 | 
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 | 
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 | 
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 | 
| 10 | Avai | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 | 
| 11 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 | 
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 | 
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 | 
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 | 
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 | 
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 | 
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 | 
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 | 
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 | 
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 27 | 
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