Result
0:1
09/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 31
- Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (371/421) | 84% (283/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (371/421) | 84% (283/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (108/130) | 70% (57/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/42) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Netinho 🟨,
- 34', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 36', David Antunes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', David Antunes ↓, Everton ↑,
- 57', Marcinho 🟨,
- 57', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 58', Vitor Barreto ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 68', Pedro Perotti ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
- 68', Pedro Martins ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Neto Pessoa ⚽,
- 74', Italo 🟨,
- 74', Albano ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 75', Netinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 83', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 87', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 88', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 88', Thiago Lopes ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 90+3', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
39.8% | Draw
29.8% | Chapecoense
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Ferroviária - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.38) |
3.12 ↓
(3.25) |
3.06 ↑
(2.82) |
7.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Alencar
(Yellow Cards)
Denilson
(Knee Injury)
Edson Lucas
(Yellow Cards)
Eric Melo
(Injury)
Gustavo Jundi
(Injury)
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bressan
(Injury)
Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Balieiro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Juninho
(Injury)
Thayllon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: David Antunes
(Injury)
Getulio
(Injury)
Marlon
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Chapecoense?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Ferroviária?
Chapecoense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Chapecoense were as follows:
16.06.2025
Chapecoense
-
Ferroviária
2:1
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
