Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
103:119
09/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8180
Field goals made
4149
Field goals %
50.62%61.25%
2-point field goals attempts
5151
2-point field goals made
3233
2-point field goals %
62.75%64.71%
3-point field goals attempts
3029
3-point field goals made
916
3-point field goals %
30%55.17%
Free throws attempts
128
Free throws made
125
Free throws %
100%62.5%
Offensive rebounds
158
Defensive rebounds
2325
Total rebounds
3833
Assists
2437
Blocks
23
Turnovers
1919
Steals
814
Personal fouls
613
Technical fouls
21

Highlights

Chances of winning


Golden State Warriors
53.6%
Los Angeles Lakers
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Golden State Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Golden State Warriors's form might have worsened.
  • Los Angeles Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles Lakers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Golden State Warriors than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Golden State Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Lakers than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles Lakers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.53)

    2.09
    (2.5)
    3.5%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 221.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 222.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Los Angeles Lakers will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles Lakers will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 113:110.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Golden State is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • LA Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 2.
    • Golden State has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • LA Lakers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Golden State has had a series of home games.
    • Golden State is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Golden State: Butler J. (Knee Injury) Horford A. (Calf Injury) Moody M. (Knee Injury) Post Q. (Foot Injury) Santos G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Lakers: Doncic L. (Hamstring Injury) James L. (Foot Injury) Reaves A. (Lower Back Injury) Smart M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Golden State: Cryer L. (Illness) Porzingis K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2308:2196. (average 115.4:109.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Golden State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1143:1054. (average 114.3:105.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers were as follows:
    28.02.2026 Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers 101:129
    07.02.2026 Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors 105:99
    21.10.2025 Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors 109:119
    12.10.2025 Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors 126:116
    05.10.2025 Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers 111:103
    Latest results of Golden State Warriors
    Latest results of Los Angeles Lakers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2