Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
135:112
19/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9599
Field goals made
4939
Field goals %
51.58%39.39%
2-point field goals attempts
4454
2-point field goals made
2526
2-point field goals %
56.82%48.15%
3-point field goals attempts
5145
3-point field goals made
2413
3-point field goals %
47.06%28.89%
Free throws attempts
1724
Free throws made
1321
Free throws %
76.5%87.5%
Offensive rebounds
820
Defensive rebounds
3834
Total rebounds
4654
Assists
3830
Blocks
32
Turnovers
1419
Steals
116
Personal fouls
1718
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Golden State Warriors
63.3%
Miami Heat
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Golden State Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.4)

    2.62
    (2.93)
    3.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 240.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Miami will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Golden State (votes: 2 - 50%). Miami (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 1st Half - Miami (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Golden State (votes: 2 - 40%). Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 123:118.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 0.
    • Golden State is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Golden State has had a series of home games.
    • Golden State might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Golden State: Cryer L. (Back Injury) Curry S. (Thigh Injury) Santos G. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Knee Injury) Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury)
    • We predict that Golden State will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2025:2091. (average 101.3:104.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Golden State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 995:997. (average 99.5:99.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat were as follows:
    19.11.2025 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 110:96
    08.07.2025 Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat 79:93
    25.03.2025 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 112:86
    07.01.2025 Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat 98:114
    21.07.2024 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 102:99
    Latest results of Golden State Warriors
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    15.01.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 114:119
    13.01.2026 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 127:121
    10.01.2026 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 123:99
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)