Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
135:112
19/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9599
Field goals made
4939
Field goals %
51.58%39.39%
2-point field goals attempts
4454
2-point field goals made
2526
2-point field goals %
56.82%48.15%
3-point field goals attempts
5145
3-point field goals made
2413
3-point field goals %
47.06%28.89%
Free throws attempts
1724
Free throws made
1321
Free throws %
76.5%87.5%
Offensive rebounds
820
Defensive rebounds
3834
Total rebounds
4654
Assists
3830
Blocks
32
Turnovers
1419
Steals
116
Personal fouls
1718
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Golden State Warriors
63.3%
Miami Heat
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Golden State Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.4)

    2.62
    (2.93)
    3.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 240.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Miami will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Golden State (votes: 2 - 50%). Miami (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 1st Half - Miami (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Golden State (votes: 2 - 40%). Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 123:118.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 0.
    • Golden State is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Golden State has had a series of home games.
    • Golden State might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Golden State: Cryer L. (Back Injury) Curry S. (Thigh Injury) Santos G. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Knee Injury) Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury)
    • We predict that Golden State will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2025:2091. (average 101.3:104.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Golden State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 995:997. (average 99.5:99.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat were as follows:
    19.11.2025 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 110:96
    08.07.2025 Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat 79:93
    25.03.2025 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 112:86
    07.01.2025 Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat 98:114
    21.07.2024 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 102:99
    Latest results of Golden State Warriors
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    15.01.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 114:119
    13.01.2026 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 127:121
    10.01.2026 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 123:99
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )