Result
129:147
01/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 95 | 96 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 46.32% | 58.33% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 48 | 52 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 41.67% | 67.31% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 51.06% | 47.73% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 73.9% | 70% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 37 | 48 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Technical fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Chances of winning
Miami Heat
36.6% | Boston Celtics
63.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Boston Celtics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Celtics than the current prediction. (-2%)
Miami Heat - Boston Celtics Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.54) |
|
1.52 ↓
(1.55) |
3.7%
(3.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 230.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Boston Celtics?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Boston will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5, OT - Miami (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +3.5, OT - Miami (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5, OT - Miami (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 113:118.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Boston is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Boston could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Miami: Powell N.
(Back Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Boston: Harper R.
(Ankle Injury)
Tatum J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vucevic N.
(Finger Injury)
- There are questionable in Boston: Queta N.
(Finger Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2027:2160. (average 101.4:108).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 881:984. (average 97.9:109.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Boston Celtics?
Miami Heat has won 11 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boston Celtics won against Miami Heat?
Boston Celtics has won 18 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Boston Celtics were as follows:
06.02.2026
Boston Celtics
-
Miami Heat
98:96
15.01.2026
Miami Heat
-
Boston Celtics
114:119
19.12.2025
Boston Celtics
-
Miami Heat
129:116
14.07.2025
Miami Heat
-
Boston Celtics
100:96
02.04.2025
Boston Celtics
-
Miami Heat
103:124
Latest results of Miami Heat
Latest results of Boston Celtics
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder (1) | Phoenix Suns (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Lakers (4) | Houston Rockets (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | San Antonio Spurs (2) | Portland Trail Blazers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Denver Nuggets (3) | Minnesota Timberwolves (6) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Detroit Pistons (1) | Orlando Magic (8) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Cleveland Cavaliers (4) | Toronto Raptors (5) | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Boston Celtics (2) | Philadelphia 76ers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | New York Knicks (3) | Atlanta Hawks (6) | 2 : 2 |
