Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
135:112
19/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9599
Field goals made
4939
Field goals %
51.58%39.39%
2-point field goals attempts
4454
2-point field goals made
2526
2-point field goals %
56.82%48.15%
3-point field goals attempts
5145
3-point field goals made
2413
3-point field goals %
47.06%28.89%
Free throws attempts
1724
Free throws made
1321
Free throws %
76.5%87.5%
Offensive rebounds
820
Defensive rebounds
3834
Total rebounds
4654
Assists
3830
Blocks
32
Turnovers
1419
Steals
116
Personal fouls
1718
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Golden State Warriors
63.3%
Miami Heat
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Golden State Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.4)

    2.62
    (2.93)
    3.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 240.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Golden State will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Miami will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 23.1%88.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Golden State (votes: 2 - 50%). Miami (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • H/A, 1st Half - Miami (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Golden State (votes: 2 - 40%). Miami (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 123:118.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 0.
    • Golden State is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Golden State has had a series of home games.
    • Golden State might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Golden State: Cryer L. (Back Injury) Curry S. (Thigh Injury) Santos G. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Knee Injury) Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury)
    • We predict that Golden State will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2025:2091. (average 101.3:104.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Golden State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 995:997. (average 99.5:99.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat were as follows:
    19.11.2025 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 110:96
    08.07.2025 Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat 79:93
    25.03.2025 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 112:86
    07.01.2025 Golden State Warriors - Miami Heat 98:114
    21.07.2024 Miami Heat - Golden State Warriors 102:99
    Latest results of Golden State Warriors
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    15.01.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 114:119
    13.01.2026 Miami Heat - Phoenix Suns 127:121
    10.01.2026 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 123:99
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2