Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Bueno G. Retired
16/04/2026 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
03
1st serve percentage
42%64%
1st serve points won
100% (10/10)39% (9/23)
2nd serve points won
64% (9/14)23% (3/13)
Break Points Saved
0/04/8
1st return points won
61% (14/23)10% (1/10)
2nd return points won
77% (10/13)36% (5/14)
Break Points Converted
4/80/0
Winners
85
Unforced errors
718
Net points won
100% (3/3)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
73% (16/22)34% (11/32)
Return Points Won
66% (21/32)27% (6/22)
Total Points Won
69% (37/54)31% (17/54)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (4/4)0% (0/4)
Return games won
100% (4/4)0% (0/4)
Total games won
100% (8/8)0% (0/8)

Chances of winning


Matias Soto
45.3%
Gonzalo Bueno
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 67.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matias Soto's performance.
  • Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matias Soto - Gonzalo Bueno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.44)

    1.71
    (1.48)
    6.7%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Matias Soto - Gonzalo Bueno?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bueno will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Bueno (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bueno (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Soto is ranked ATP: 304. Bueno is ranked ATP: 187.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Bueno may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Bueno will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matias Soto - Gonzalo Bueno were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Gonzalo Bueno - Matias Soto 0:2
    Latest results of Matias Soto
    Latest results of Gonzalo Bueno