Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (164/235) | 86% (552/641) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 45 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (164/235) | 86% (552/641) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 70% (126/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 22% (9/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 69 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.78 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Sego M. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Pozo I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fiolic I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 46', Skoko N. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
- 59', Sanyang A. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
- 68', Vrzic L. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 78', Guillamon H. ↓, Pajaziti A. ↑,
- 78', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 79', Prsir J. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
- 86', Matijas D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cuic F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sarlija Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gorica
26.7% | Draw
29.9% | Hajduk Split
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hajduk Split might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gorica - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↓
(3.75) |
3.14 ↓
(3.5) |
2.15 ↑
(1.85) |
6.7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Hajduk Split?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Gorica (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hajduk Split will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 50%). Hajduk (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
- Gorica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hajduk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hajduk is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Ivusic I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Pavicic D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:41. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Hajduk Split?
Gorica has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Gorica?
Hajduk Split has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Hajduk Split were as follows:
24.10.2025
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:3
10.08.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:0
11.05.2025
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
09.03.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:1
07.12.2024
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
