Result
1:3
24/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (303/385) | 81% (279/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (303/385) | 81% (279/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 62% (34/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (69/106) | 69% (72/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Sarlija Z. ⚽, Hrgovic S. (A),
- 24', Pukstas R. 🟨,
- 29', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 45', Sarlija Z. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 2, Sego M. (Pen),
- 67', 0 - 3, Sigur N. ⚽, Mlacic B. (A),
- 68', Pavicic D. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 68', Durakovic E. ↓, Pelko V. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Cuic F. ⚽, Pozo I. (A),
- 78', Almena I. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 84', Sego M. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 90+2', Trontelj Z. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rebic A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 90+2', Hrgovic S. ↓, Raci R. ↑,
- 90+5', Kavelj A. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 90+5', Pelko V. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cuic F. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cuic F. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
20.6% | Draw
25.4% | Hajduk Split
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gorica - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↓
(5.8) |
3.69 ↓
(3.9) |
1.74 ↑
(1.53) |
6.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Hajduk will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hajduk Split will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
- Gorica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hajduk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hajduk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Gorica: Cabraja M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Diallo I.
(Inactive)
Karacic F.
(Inactive)
Pajaziti A.
(Yellow Cards)
Skelin M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Hajduk Split?
Gorica has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Gorica?
Hajduk Split has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Hajduk Split were as follows:
10.08.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:0
11.05.2025
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
09.03.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:1
07.12.2024
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
21.09.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
4:1
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Din. Zagreb | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25:12 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 6 | Lok. Zagreb | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 7 | Gorica | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 11 |
| 10 | Osijek | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
