Hajduk Split vs Gorica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Hajduk Split - Gorica
Result
2:0
10/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HNL - Round 2
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
croatiaCroatiaMAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.000.00
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
20
Shots on target
20
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
00
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.000.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.00
Total shots
20
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
00
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
00
Shots outside the Box
00
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
00
Touches in opposition box
00
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Expected assists (xA)
0.000.00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Duels won
00
Clearances
00
Interceptions
00
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.00
Goals prevented
0.000.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
  • 44', Pozo I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Benrahou Y. (Pen),
  • 50', Durakovic E. 🟥,
  • 54', Pavicic D. , Josic Z. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Sego M. (Pen),
  • 67', Cuic F. , Gashi M. ,
  • 68', Pozo I. , Fiolic I. ,
  • 69', Pajaziti A. , Karacic F. ,
  • 73', Benrahou Y. , Skoko N. ,
  • 73', Sanyang A. , Durdov B. ,
  • 84', Prsir J. , Kucis M. ,
  • 85', Vrzic L. , Pelko V. ,
  • 85', Mlacic B. , Raci R. ,
  • 85', Pukstas R. , Kalik A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hajduk Split
65.8%
Draw
22.5%
Gorica
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 19.1% 9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5% 18.2% 9.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hajduk Split's form might have worsened.
  • Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hajduk Split, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Hajduk Split - Gorica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.32)
    4.12
    (4.9)
    8.29
    (9.46)
    6.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Gorica?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 3.
    • Hajduk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gorica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hajduk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hajduk is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Hajduk: Capan M. (Inactive) Livaja M. (Suspended) Skelin M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:15. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:6. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Gorica were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Gorica - Hajduk Split 1:1
    09.03.2025 Hajduk Split - Gorica 2:1
    07.12.2024 Gorica - Hajduk Split 1:0
    21.09.2024 Hajduk Split - Gorica 4:1
    19.05.2024 Hajduk Split - Gorica 2:1
    Latest results of Hajduk Split
    03.08.2025 Hajduk Split - Istra 1961 2:1
    31.07.2025 Hajduk Split - Zira 2:1
    23.07.2025 Zira - Hajduk Split 1:1
    18.07.2025 LASK Linz - Hajduk Split 2:1
    Latest results of Gorica
    04.08.2025 Varaždin - Gorica 1:1
    25.07.2025 Triglav - Gorica 3:1
    24.07.2025 Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana 4:1
    19.07.2025 Gorica - Charlton Athletic 0:2
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb33007:079
    2Hajduk Split33007:169
    3Gorica31114:404
    4Rijeka31112:204
    5Lok. Zagreb31114:5-14
    6Slaven Belupo31023:6-33
    7Istra 196130214:5-12
    8Varazdin30212:4-22
    9Osijek30210:2-22
    10Vukovar 199130121:5-41

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