Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 34
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (252/323) | 82% (322/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (252/323) | 82% (322/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/83) | 69% (92/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
- 38', Bralic S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Prpic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Pajaziti A. ⚽, Erceg A. (A),
- 54', Melnjak D. ↓, Elez J. ↑,
- 54', Durdov B. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
- 54', Sanyang A. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Livaja M. ⚽, Sego M. (A),
- 60', Ndockyt M. ↓, Caic V. ↑,
- 60', Erceg A. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 71', Elezi A. ↓, Slogar M. ↑,
- 71', Kalik A. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
- 82', Pukstas R. ↓, Krovinovic F. ↑,
- 84', Pajaziti A. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
17.2% | Draw
25.2% | Hajduk Split
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hajduk Split, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gorica - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.42 ↑
(5.41) |
3.7 ↓
(3.79) |
1.63 ↑
(1.62) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Hajduk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
- Gorica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hajduk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Hajduk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hajduk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Injury)
Les M.
(Inactive)
Prsir J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Biuk S.
(Injury)
Mlakar J.
(Injury)
Sigur N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Hajduk: Diallo I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:38. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Hajduk Split?
Gorica has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Gorica?
Hajduk Split has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Hajduk Split were as follows:
09.03.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:1
07.12.2024
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
21.09.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
4:1
19.05.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:1
09.03.2024
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
0:3
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
