Result
1:0
12/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 29
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (536/605) | 82% (324/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (536/605) | 82% (324/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (14/36) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (93/131) | 68% (41/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 29% (2/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Livaja M. ⚽,
- 16', Sule W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sule W. ↓, Prsir J. ↑,
- 53', Pavicic D. 🟨,
- 61', Sego M. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
- 61', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 65', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 69', Les M. ↓, Cabraja M. ↑,
- 69', Bakic O. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 80', Pavicic D. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 82', Brajkovic R. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 85', Epailly T. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 90+4', Livaja M. ↓, Guram A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
62.6% | Draw
22.5% | Gorica
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hajduk Split's performance.Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Hajduk Split - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.61) |
4.19 ↑
(3.7) |
6.26 ↑
(5.17) |
7.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Gorica?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hajduk Split will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Gorica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hajduk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Muscle Injury)
Fesyuk D.
(Inactive)
Hodak L.
(Muscle Injury)
Ivusic I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Hajduk: Rebic A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:13. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Gorica?
Hajduk Split has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Hajduk Split?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Gorica were as follows:
31.01.2026
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:0
24.10.2025
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:3
10.08.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:0
11.05.2025
Gorica
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
09.03.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Gorica
2:1
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 75:22 | 53 | 66 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:33 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:46 | -8 | 36 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 36 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 34:46 | -12 | 34 |
| 8 | Gorica | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Osijek | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 28 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
