Muhanga vs Gorilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Muhanga
30.4%
Draw
32.2%
Gorilla
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 31.9% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 33.5% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muhanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Muhanga - Gorilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.65)
    2.78
    (2.85)
    2.4
    (2.7)
    11.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
    • Muhanga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gorilla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Muhanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Muhanga - Gorilla were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Gorilla - Muhanga 2:0
    Latest results of Muhanga
    18.04.2026 Gicumbi - Muhanga 2:0
    05.04.2026 APR - Muhanga 1:0
    22.03.2026 Muhanga - Musanze 0:1
    19.03.2026 Al-Merreikh - Muhanga 3:0
    Latest results of Gorilla
    22.04.2026 Gorilla - Rayon Sports 1:1
    17.04.2026 Gasogi United - Gorilla 2:1
    05.04.2026 Gorilla - Musanze 2:1
    21.03.2026 Gicumbi - Gorilla 0:1
    15.03.2026 Gorilla - Marines 1:1
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman28204463:204364
    2APR291511341:221956
    3Al-Merreikh281510334:151955
    4Rayon Sport291212534:26848
    5Police291112627:18945
    6Kiyovu291111730:191144
    7Mukura Victory Sports291181030:32-241
    8Bugesera291171129:29040
    9Marines291081136:35138
    10Musanze291071233:32137
    11Gorilla29891224:33-933
    12Gicumbi29881331:44-1332
    13Gasogi United297101221:35-1431
    14AS Kigali296111220:31-1129
    15Amagaju29771516:34-1828
    16Etincelles294151020:31-1127
    17Rutsiro295101427:39-1225
    18Muhanga29661719:40-2124

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