Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Muhanga 30.4% | Draw 32.2% | Gorilla 37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muhanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Muhanga - Gorilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.95 ↑ (2.65) |
2.78 ↓ (2.85) |
2.4 ↓ (2.7) |
11.6% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).
- Muhanga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gorilla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Muhanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Muhanga won against Gorilla?
Muhanga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Muhanga?
Gorilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muhanga - Gorilla were as follows:
12.09.2025
Gorilla
-
Muhanga
2:0
Latest results of Muhanga
Latest results of Gorilla
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation