Górnik Łęczna vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
30
Blocked Shots
64
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Offsides
23
Fouls
2117
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
12
Throw-ins
1718

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Sobczak S. (Pen),
  • 20', Vitalucci H. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Oliveira J. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 59', Sobczak S. , Majchrzak J. ,
  • 59', Szabaciuk F. , Bednarczyk J. ,
  • 61', Oduko O. 🟨,
  • 65', Oduko O. 🟨,
  • 73', Krawczyk S. , Malamis P. ,
  • 74', Zyra P. , Akhmedov B. ,
  • 74', Orlik K. , Kryeziu E. ,
  • 79', Celestine J. 🟥,
  • 80', Gaprindashvili T. , Azatsky O. ,
  • 80', Sidibe A. , Stolc P. ,
  • 88', Barauskas D. , Traore S. ,
  • 90', Kryeziu E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Navarro M. , Rzuchowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
21%
Draw
26.4%
Arka Gdynia
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 23.9% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 23% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (5.16)
    3.54
    (3.89)
    1.75
    (1.6)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 3.
    • Górnik Łęczna is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Górnik Łęczna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arka is a favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:12 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 1:2
    16.12.2023 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 0:0
    28.07.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia 0:0
    13.03.2023 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    01.09.2022 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla26158358:253353
    2Slask Wroclaw26128650:401044
    3Chrobry Glogow26135838:251344
    4Grodzisk M26119644:38642
    5Polonia Warszawa26118742:37541
    6Ruch Chorzow26118740:36441
    7Wieczysta Krakow25117752:381440
    8Legnica26116944:44039
    9S. Rzeszow26116940:41-139
    10LKS Lodz26108838:38038
    11Polonia Bytom25106939:32736
    12Puszcza26811735:32335
    13Odra Opole26710926:33-731
    14Pogon Siedlce26791027:30-330
    15Stal Mielec26651535:51-1623
    16Leczna263111230:46-1620
    17Pruszkow26551628:52-2420
    18Tychy26361731:59-2815

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2