Górnik Łęczna vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia
16/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
30
Blocked Shots
64
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Offsides
23
Fouls
2117
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
12
Throw-ins
1718

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Sobczak S. (Pen),
  • 20', Vitalucci H. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Oliveira J. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 59', Sobczak S. , Majchrzak J. ,
  • 59', Szabaciuk F. , Bednarczyk J. ,
  • 61', Oduko O. 🟨,
  • 65', Oduko O. 🟨,
  • 73', Krawczyk S. , Malamis P. ,
  • 74', Zyra P. , Akhmedov B. ,
  • 74', Orlik K. , Kryeziu E. ,
  • 79', Celestine J. 🟥,
  • 80', Gaprindashvili T. , Azatsky O. ,
  • 80', Sidibe A. , Stolc P. ,
  • 88', Barauskas D. , Traore S. ,
  • 90', Kryeziu E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Navarro M. , Rzuchowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
21%
Draw
26.4%
Arka Gdynia
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 23.9% 58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 23% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (5.16)
    3.54
    (3.89)
    1.75
    (1.6)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Arka will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 3.
    • Górnik Łęczna is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Górnik Łęczna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arka is a favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Górnik Łęczna won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:12 (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 1:2
    16.12.2023 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 0:0
    28.07.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Arka Gdynia 0:0
    13.03.2023 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    01.09.2022 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1182134:112326
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1164125:121322
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Ruch Chorzow1144317:16116
    9Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    10Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    11Odra Opole1135311:14-314
    12Legnica1142516:23-714
    13LKS Lodz1133514:17-312
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1132616:23-711
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Pruszkow1230915:30-159
    18Leczna1106513:24-116

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2