Lech Poznań vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze
02/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
55.6%
Draw
24.1%
Górnik Zabrze
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.1% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.4% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.66)
    3.89
    (3.7)
    4.7
    (4.91)
    6.3%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1.
    • In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Górnik Zabrze is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lech: Baranski B. (Muscle Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez P. (Inactive) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Sousa A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 2:1
    21.07.2024 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 2:0
    09.03.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:0
    02.09.2023 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 1:1
    16.10.2022 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 1:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

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          Relegation ~ Division 1