Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Spain | GolStadium |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
85% (445/525) | 83% (343/415) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.08 | 0.35 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
85% (445/525) | 83% (343/415) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (15/40) | 48% (27/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (80/124) | 74% (69/93) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 10% (2/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 0.40 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 5 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.35 | 2.08 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.65 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Thordarson G. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
- 46', Szymczak F. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
- 64', Bengtsson L. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
- 68', Lukoszek K. ↓, Tsirigotis T. ↑,
- 68', Ismaheel T. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
- 68', Gholizadeh A. 🟨,
- 72', Kozubal A. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 74', Ambros L. 🟨,
- 78', Ambros L. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 78', Massimo R. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
- 79', Hellebrand P. ↓, Goh Young-Jun ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽,
- 82', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 83', Ishak M. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Sow O. ⚽, Goh Young-Jun (A),
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań 54.4% | Draw 25.3% | Górnik Zabrze 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↑ (1.66) |
3.72 ↑ (3.7) |
4.64 ↓ (4.91) |
6.7% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1.
- In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Baranski B.
(Muscle Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Leg Injury)
Rodriguez P.
(Inactive)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Sousa A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Górnik Zabrze?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Lech Poznań?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
06.12.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
2:1
21.07.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:0
09.03.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
02.09.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:1
16.10.2022
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
8 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
11 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
13 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
14 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1