Lech Poznań vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze
Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.53
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
85% (445/525)83% (343/415)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.080.35
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1814
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
59
Passes
85% (445/525)83% (343/415)
Long passes
38% (15/40)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
65% (80/124)74% (69/93)
Crosses
21% (3/14)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.40
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
95
Tackles
62% (8/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3740
Clearances
2335
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.352.08
Goals prevented
-0.65-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Thordarson G. , Gholizadeh A. ,
  • 46', Szymczak F. , Palma L. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Bengtsson L. , Pereira J. (A),
  • 64', Bengtsson L. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 68', Lukoszek K. , Tsirigotis T. ,
  • 68', Ismaheel T. , Sow O. ,
  • 68', Gholizadeh A. 🟨,
  • 72', Kozubal A. , Ouma T. ,
  • 74', Ambros L. 🟨,
  • 78', Ambros L. , Podolski L. ,
  • 78', Massimo R. , Dziegielewski N. ,
  • 79', Hellebrand P. , Goh Young-Jun ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
  • 83', Ishak M. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Sow O. , Goh Young-Jun (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
54.4%
Draw
25.3%
Górnik Zabrze
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.1% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 25.4% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.66)
    3.72
    (3.7)
    4.64
    (4.91)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1.
    • In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Górnik Zabrze is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lech: Baranski B. (Muscle Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez P. (Inactive) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Sousa A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 2:1
    21.07.2024 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 2:0
    09.03.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:0
    02.09.2023 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 1:1
    16.10.2022 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 1:2
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Cracovia531111:8310
    3Gornik Zabrze53027:439
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Legia42115:237
    8Widzew Lodz62138:717
    9Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    10Pogon Szczecin62139:13-47
    11Rakow42026:7-16
    12Zaglebie41219:635
    13Korona Kielce51225:6-15
    14Motor Lublin41215:7-25
    15Arka Gdynia51224:7-35
    16GKS Katowice51137:10-34
    17Piast Gliwice30120:3-31
    18Lechia Gdansk502311:17-6-3

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          Relegation ~ Division 1