Result
0:1
04/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Polish Cup - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Poland | TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Sadilek L. ⚽, Ikia Dimi Y. (A),
- 45', Sadilek L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Rodriguez P. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 60', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
- 61', Bengtsson L. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
- 61', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 65', Zmrzly O. ↓, Janza E. ↑,
- 65', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Domingues B. ↑,
- 74', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 77', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 78', Pereira J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 80', Kubicki J. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 87', Liseth S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Liseth S. ↓, Szczesniak K. ↑,
- 90+3', Lubik M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
29.3% | Draw
33.4% | Górnik Zabrze
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Zabrze's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+17.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.85 ↑
(1.99) |
3.37 ↓
(3.51) |
3.03 ↑
(3) |
-11.3%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 3.
- Lech is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lech could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Górnik Zabrze?
Lech Poznań has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Lech Poznań?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
07.02.2026
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
02.08.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:1
06.12.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
2:1
21.07.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:0
09.03.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Draw
2025/261/64-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Tychy | |
| 3 | Wikielec | Bye | |
| 4 | Podbeskidzie | R. Rzeszow | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Bye | |
| 6 | Hutnik Krakow | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bytom Odrzanski | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wisla | |
| 9 | Andrychow | Bye | |
| 10 | Chojniczanka | Bielsko-Biala | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Legnica II | Bye | |
| 12 | Swit Szczecin | LKS Lodz II | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Ozimek | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Pruszkow | |
| 15 | S. Rzeszow | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Korona Kielce | |
| 17 | LKS Lomza | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Odra Opole | |
| 19 | Korona Kielce II | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Piast Gliwice | |
| 21 | Gryf Slupsk | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Polonia Warszawa | |
| 24 | Bye | Lech Poznan | |
| 25 | Stal Mielec | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Puszcza | |
| 27 | Grodzisk M. | Wisla Pulawy | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Lechia Gdansk | |
| 29 | Arka Gdynia | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Motor Lublin | |
| 31 | Legia II | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Gornik Zabrze | |
| 33 | Avia Swidnik | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Ruch Chorzow | |
| 35 | Swinoujscie | Bye | |
| 36 | KKS Kalisz | GKS Jastrzebie | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Goczalkowice Zdroj II | Bye | |
| 38 | S. Wola | Skra | 3 : 1 |
| 39 | Warta Poznan | Olimpia Elblag | 1 : 0 |
| 40 | Polonia Bytom | Zaglebie II | 7 : 1 |
| 41 | Sroda | Bye | |
| 42 | Wieczysta Krakow | Ol. Grudziadz | 0 : 1 |
| 43 | T. Mazowiecki | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Slask Wroclaw | |
| 45 | Rakow | Bye | |
| 47 | Leczna | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Cracovia | |
| 49 | LKS Lodz | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Chrobry Glogow | |
| 51 | GKS Katowice | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Wisla Plock | |
| 53 | Legnica | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Pogon Siedlce | |
| 56 | Bye | Jagiellonia | |
| 57 | Legia | Bye | |
| 59 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Pogon Szczecin | |
| 61 | Termalica B-B. | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Widzew Lodz | |
| 63 | Radomiak Radom | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Zaglebie | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Tychy | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Wikielec | Podbeskidzie | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Hutnik Krakow | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bytom Odrzanski | Wisla | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Andrychow | Chojniczanka | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Legnica II | Swit Szczecin | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Ozimek | Pruszkow | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | S. Rzeszow | Korona Kielce | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | LKS Lomza | Odra Opole | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce II | Piast Gliwice | 0 : 1 |
| 11 | Gryf Slupsk | Polonia Warszawa | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Lech Poznan | |
| 13 | Stal Mielec | Puszcza | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Grodzisk M. | Lechia Gdansk | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | Motor Lublin | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Legia II | Gornik Zabrze | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Avia Swidnik | Ruch Chorzow | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Swinoujscie | GKS Jastrzebie | 3 : 2 |
| 19 | Goczalkowice Zdroj II | S. Wola | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Warta Poznan | Polonia Bytom | 0 : 1 |
| 21 | Sroda | Ol. Grudziadz | 1 : 3 |
| 22 | T. Mazowiecki | Slask Wroclaw | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Rakow | Bye | |
| 24 | Leczna | Cracovia | 1 : 5 |
| 25 | LKS Lodz | Chrobry Glogow | 5 : 3 |
| 26 | GKS Katowice | Wisla Plock | 4 : 2 |
| 27 | Legnica | Pogon Siedlce | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Jagiellonia | |
| 29 | Legia | Bye | |
| 30 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | Pogon Szczecin | 0 : 3 |
| 31 | Termalica B-B. | Widzew Lodz | 2 : 3 |
| 32 | Radomiak Radom | Zaglebie | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Wikielec | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Hutnik Krakow | Wisla | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Chojniczanka | Swit Szczecin | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Pruszkow | Korona Kielce | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Odra Opole | Piast Gliwice | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Gryf Slupsk | Lech Poznan | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Puszcza | Lechia Gdansk | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Arka Gdynia | Gornik Zabrze | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Avia Swidnik | Swinoujscie | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Goczalkowice Zdroj II | Polonia Bytom | 0 : 7 |
| 11 | Ol. Grudziadz | Slask Wroclaw | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Rakow | Cracovia | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | LKS Lodz | GKS Katowice | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Legnica | Jagiellonia | 2 : 3 |
| 15 | Legia | Pogon Szczecin | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | Zaglebie | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Wisla | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | Chojniczanka | Korona Kielce | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Piast Gliwice | Lech Poznan | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Lechia Gdansk | Gornik Zabrze | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Avia Swidnik | Polonia Bytom | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Slask Wroclaw | Rakow | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | Jagiellonia | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | Widzew Lodz | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Chojniczanka | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | Gornik Zabrze | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Avia Swidnik | Rakow | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | GKS Katowice | Widzew Lodz | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zawisza | Gornik Zabrze | |
| 2 | Rakow | GKS Katowice | |
Final
