Gostivar vs Pelister – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football North Macedonian 1 MFL Gostivar - Pelister
Result
Pelister awarded
04/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. MFL - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (0 - 3)

Chances of winning


Gostivar
44.7%
Draw
21.9%
Pelister
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 21.8% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 13.5% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gostivar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gostivar's form might have worsened.
  • Pelister has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pelister's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pelister, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gostivar - Pelister Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.35)
    4.18
    (4.17)
    2.74
    (8.44)
    9.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gostivar won 1.
    • Gostivar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pelister's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Gostivar is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gostivar won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gostivar won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gostivar - Pelister were as follows:
    30.10.2024 Gostivar - Pelister 0:0
    11.08.2024 Pelister - Gostivar 1:1
    20.07.2024 Pelister - Gostivar 0:2
    08.03.2023 Gostivar - Pelister 1:1
    Latest results of Gostivar
    27.04.2025 Gostivar - Rabotnički Rabotnicki awarded
    19.04.2025 Struga - Gostivar 1:1
    13.04.2025 Gostivar - Shkupi 3:1
    06.04.2025 Besa Dobërdoll - Gostivar 2:1
    31.03.2025 Gostivar - Voska Sport 0:2
    Latest results of Pelister
    27.04.2025 Pelister - Tikveš 1:0
    19.04.2025 Rabotnički - Pelister 2:1
    05.04.2025 Struga - Pelister 4:1
    29.03.2025 Pelister - Vardar 1:3
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Besa 1976Bashkimi0 : 2