Gran Peña vs Lugo B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
07/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 1, ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, ,
  • 80', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
29.3%
Draw
29.2%
Lugo B
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.1% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Peña's form might have worsened.
  • Lugo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugo B's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gran Peña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugo B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gran Peña - Lugo B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.18)
    3.25
    (3.25)
    2.29
    (3.05)
    5.5%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gran Peña - Lugo B?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Lugo B (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lugo B (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Gran Peña is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lugo B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gran Peña will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    23.11.2025 Gran Peña - Viveiro 0:0
    16.11.2025 Silva SD - Gran Peña 1:2
    09.11.2025 Gran Peña - Céltiga 2:4
    26.10.2025 Gran Peña - Boiro 1:0
    Latest results of Lugo B
    23.11.2025 Lugo B - Silva SD 0:2
    16.11.2025 Céltiga - Lugo B 0:0
    09.11.2025 Lugo B - Juventud Cambados 1:1
    02.11.2025 Boiro - Lugo B 1:2
    26.10.2025 Lugo B - Barco 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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