Gran Peña vs Polvorín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Gran Peña - Polvorín
Result
3:2
23/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Avinu J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, ,
  • 53', 2 - 2, Avinu J. ,
  • 63', 🟥,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Avinu J. ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
36.4%
Draw
29.1%
Polvorín
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 30% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 30.3% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polvorín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gran Peña - Polvorín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.25)
    3.11
    (3.04)
    2.62
    (3.08)
    10.5%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 8).
    • Gran Peña is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Polvorín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gran Peña will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Polvorín were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Polvorín - Gran Peña 2:0
    27.04.2024 Polvorín - Gran Peña 1:1
    17.12.2023 Gran Peña - Polvorín 1:0
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    16.03.2025 RC Villalbes - Gran Peña 0:0
    23.02.2025 Gran Peña - Sarriana 1:3
    16.02.2025 Alondras - Gran Peña 0:0
    09.02.2025 Gran Peña - Silva SD 0:3
    02.02.2025 Estradense - Gran Peña 2:2
    Latest results of Polvorín
    02.03.2025 Polvorín - Villalonga 1:0
    23.02.2025 Valladares - Polvorín 3:3
    16.02.2025 Polvorín - Arosa 2:3
    02.02.2025 Polvorín - UD Ourense 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2