Burgos vs Granada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.39
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
77% (317/410)74% (258/347)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.980.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.19
Total shots
167
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
139
Passes
77% (317/410)74% (258/347)
Long passes
52% (39/75)39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
63% (57/91)58% (60/103)
Crosses
32% (7/22)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.53
Throw-ins
2532
Fouls
913
Tackles
68% (19/28)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6146
Clearances
2415
Interceptions
1412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.191.09
Goals prevented
0.190.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Hongla M. 🟨,
  • 56', Hongla M. , Gagnidze L. ,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Sola A. , Faye S. (A),
  • 69', Sola A. 🟨,
  • 70', Mejia M. , Garcia F. ,
  • 70', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. , Cordoba I. ,
  • 71', Sola A. , Saenz P. ,
  • 71', Hormigo D. , Diallo B. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Sierra G. , Garcia F. (A),
  • 75', Garcia F. 🟨,
  • 83', Nino F. , Cantero M. ,
  • 83', Appin K. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 89', Aleman P. , Trigueros M. ,
  • 89', Casadesus P. , Williams L. ,
  • 90+5', Oppong O. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4psurccw

Chances of winning


Burgos
43%
Draw
31.3%
Granada
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 28.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 26.9% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.
  • Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Granada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Burgos - Granada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.79)
    2.99
    (3.2)
    3.71
    (4.33)
    5.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Burgos - Granada?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). Granada will win (votes: 3 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 65.4%88.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Burgos (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Burgos (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Burgos (3.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Burgos (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Burgos (4.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 33 - 94.3%). Granada (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Granada has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Burgos might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Bunuel A. (Eye injury) Chapela I. (Injury) Cordoba I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Granada: Diallo B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Granada: Bouldini M. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Granada were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Granada - Burgos 0:0
    29.09.2024 Burgos - Granada 2:2
    04.03.2023 Burgos - Granada 1:3
    11.12.2022 Granada - Burgos 1:0
    Latest results of Burgos
    07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    31.08.2025 FC Andorra - Burgos 2:1
    15.08.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 5:1
    Latest results of Granada
    14.09.2025 Granada - Leganés 0:2
    06.09.2025 Málaga - Granada 2:2
    31.08.2025 Granada - Mirandés 1:2
    22.08.2025 Eibar - Granada 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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