Burgos vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Plantío (Burgos).

LaLiga2 - Round 1
Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.90	0.25
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
91% (500/552)	80% (238/299)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.90	0.25
xG on target (xGOT)
3.34	0.38
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
13	1
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
26	4
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
91% (500/552)	80% (238/299)
Long passes
69% (27/39)	38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
81% (141/175)	62% (38/61)
Crosses
40% (6/15)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.89	0.11
Throw-ins
18	15
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
64% (7/11)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
42	47
Clearances
19	19
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.38	3.34
Goals prevented
0.38	-1.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', Diallo Selu M. 🟥,
3', 1 - 0, Curro (Pen),
9', Larios J. 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Nino F. ⚽, Sierra G. (A),
25', Pibe ↓, Bicho ↑,
31', Nino F. 🟨,
42', 3 - 0, Curro ⚽, Arroyo A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 3 - 1, Cordoba A. (Own goal),
64', Curro ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
64', Cordoba I. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
72', Paraschiv D. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
72', Tresaco R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
81', Nino F. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
81', Arroyo A. ↓, Lizancos A. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Mejia M. ⚽,
84', Satrustegui E. ↓, Rodri Suarez ↑,
84', Larios J. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
86', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdeya2nv

Chances of winning

Burgos
63.9%

Draw
22.7%

Leonesa
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burgos's performance.

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Burgos - Leonesa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	5.17 ↑ (3.51)	8.8 ↑ (4.94)	-10.7% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Burgos - Leonesa?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Burgos (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Burgos will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2.
Leonesa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Leonesa has had a series of away games.
In this match, Burgos is seen as the favorite.
There are questionable in Burgos: Mollejo V. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Leonesa: Garcia V. (Inactive) Justo M. (Inactive) Maestre S. (Inactive) Satrustegui E. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Leonesa?

Burgos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Burgos?

Leonesa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Leonesa were as follows:

30.07.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 0:0

09.08.2024 Burgos - Leonesa 0:1

26.07.2023 Burgos - Leonesa 1:0

Latest results of Burgos

09.08.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 2:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Burgos - Eibar 1:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 0:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Burgos - Barakaldo 2:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Málaga - Burgos 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Leonesa

09.08.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Real Avilés - Leonesa 2:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa 3:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Real Oviedo - Leonesa 1:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Burgos - Leonesa 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	35	20	5	10	72:54	18	65
2	Dep. La Coruna	35	17	10	8	53:38	15	61
3	Almeria	35	18	7	10	67:52	15	61
4	Malaga	35	17	9	9	58:41	17	60
5	Burgos CF	35	17	9	9	42:29	13	60
6	Castellon	35	16	10	9	58:43	15	58
7	Las Palmas	35	15	12	8	45:30	15	57
8	Eibar	35	15	10	10	40:31	9	55
9	Andorra	35	13	10	12	51:47	4	49
10	Gijon	35	14	7	14	45:44	1	49
11	Ceuta	35	14	7	14	42:55	-13	49
12	Cordoba	35	13	9	13	47:52	-5	48
13	Granada CF	35	11	12	12	44:41	3	45
14	Albacete	35	11	11	13	44:47	-3	44
15	Leganes	35	10	12	13	40:38	2	42
16	Real Sociedad B	35	11	8	16	45:50	-5	41
17	Valladolid	35	10	10	15	39:47	-8	40
18	Cadiz CF	35	10	8	17	33:48	-15	38
19	Zaragoza	35	8	10	17	31:47	-16	34
20	Huesca	35	8	9	18	35:53	-18	33
21	Mirandes	35	8	9	18	37:56	-19	33
22	Cultural Leonesa	35	8	8	19	31:56	-25	32

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