Ceuta vs Granada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 27
  • Referee: de Ena Wolf A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.501.49
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Passes
81% (327/406)76% (235/311)
Yellow cards
53
Expected goals (xG)
1.501.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.33
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
15
Free kicks
1419
Passes
81% (327/406)76% (235/311)
Long passes
45% (25/56)43% (23/54)
Passes in final third
67% (71/106)52% (45/86)
Crosses
18% (3/17)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.84
Throw ins
2023
Fouls
1914
Tackles
67% (12/18)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4858
Clearances
4115
Interceptions
1015
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.331.51
Goals prevented
0.33-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Domenech M. ⚽, Illescas M. (A),
  • 34', Domenech M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
  • 37', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
  • 37', Alcaraz R. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
  • 43', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Lama M. 🟨,
  • 55', Jamelli 🟨,
  • 62', Youness 🟨,
  • 64', Naasei O. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
  • 64', Diallo B. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
  • 64', Petit G. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
  • 66', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Diocou B. ⚽, Gonzalez I. (A),
  • 77', Jamelli ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
  • 77', Illescas M. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
  • 77', Kone K. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
  • 85', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 85', Aleman P. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
  • 86', Sanchez S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Hernandez C. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3yzh8fc7

Chances of winning


Ceuta
36.7%		Draw
31%		Granada
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.2% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 29.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Ceuta - Granada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.56 ↑
    (2.44)    		 3.03 ↓
    (3.2)    		 2.91 ↑
    (2.85)    		 6.5%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Granada?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Granada will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 12% – 65%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Granada (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Granada (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Granada (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 20%). Granada (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
    • Ceuta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Granada is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Granada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Fernandez Sanchez M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Granada: Casadesus P. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Red Card) Saenz P. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Granada were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    15.02.2026 Huesca - Ceuta 2:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Almería - Ceuta 4:2 ✺
    26.01.2026 Ceuta - Leonesa 3:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Ceuta - Valladolid 0:3 ✺
    11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Granada
    14.02.2026 Granada - Valladolid 5:1 ✺
    06.02.2026 Leganés - Granada 1:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Granada - Racing Santander 1:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Cádiz - Granada 1:2 ✺
    19.01.2026 Granada - Eibar 0:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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