Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 27
- Referee: de Ena Wolf A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/406) | 76% (235/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/406) | 76% (235/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (71/106) | 52% (45/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Domenech M. ⚽, Illescas M. (A),
- 34', Domenech M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
- 37', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
- 37', Alcaraz R. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
- 43', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Lama M. 🟨,
- 55', Jamelli 🟨,
- 62', Youness 🟨,
- 64', Naasei O. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
- 64', Diallo B. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
- 64', Petit G. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
- 66', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Diocou B. ⚽, Gonzalez I. (A),
- 77', Jamelli ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
- 77', Illescas M. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
- 77', Kone K. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
- 85', Ahmed A. 🟨,
- 85', Aleman P. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
- 86', Sanchez S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hernandez C. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3yzh8fc7
Chances of winning
Ceuta
36.7% | Draw
31% | Granada
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ceuta - Granada Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.44) |
3.03 ↓
(3.2) |
2.91 ↑
(2.85) |
6.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Granada?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Granada will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 12% – 65%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Granada (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Granada (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Granada (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 20%). Granada (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
- Ceuta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Granada is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Granada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar
(Injury)
Fernandez Sanchez M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Granada: Casadesus P.
(Muscle Injury)
Ruiz S.
(Red Card)
Saenz P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ceuta won against Granada?
Ceuta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Ceuta?
Granada has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Granada were as follows:
07.12.2025
Granada
-
Ceuta
1:1
Latest results of Granada
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 35 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 72:54 | 18 | 65 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 53:38 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Almeria | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 67:52 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Malaga | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Castellon | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 58:43 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 54 |
| 9 | Andorra | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 51:47 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Gijon | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 49 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 48 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 14 | Albacete | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 44:47 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40:38 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 41 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 33 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31:56 | -25 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
