Brisbane Lions vs Greater Western Sydney Giants – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/06/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Gabba (Brisbane).

AFL - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy

Match Stats


Goals
13	17
Behinds
18	5
Kicks
210	212
Handballs
127	145
Disposals
337	357
Frees For
18	11
Frees Against
11	18
Clearances Completed
35	29
Marks
108	95
Tackles
28	42
Hitouts
42	28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (35 - 30)
00:53, (Behind Rushed),
05:09, (Behind Rushed),
06:36, Cadman A. (G),
11:07, Brown C. (G),
12:51, McCluggage H. (G),
15:00, Bailey Z. (Behind),
18:02, Bailey Z. (Behind),
18:35, Neale L. (G),
20:30, Starcevich B. (G),
22:25, Hogan J. (G),
24:32, Hogan J. (G),
27:59, (Behind Rushed),
29:10, Cadman A. (G),
40:03, Morris L. (G),
42:48, Morris L. (G),
2nd Quarter (29 - 18)
01:33, (Behind Rushed),
05:10, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
08:29, Berry J. (Behind),
12:56, Cadman A. (G),
15:25, McCluggage H. (Behind),
16:17, Morris L. (G),
18:21, Dunkley J. (G),
20:46, Bailey Z. (G),
24:50, Jones D. (G),
26:19, McCluggage H. (Behind),
27:51, Hogan J. (G),
31:19, Day S. (G),
3rd Quarter (9 - 27)
00:17, Cadman A. (Behind),
04:15, Hogan J. (G),
05:48, Hogan J. (Behind),
07:23, Hogan J. (G),
09:37, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
11:01, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
12:58, Berry J. (Behind),
16:16, Hogan J. (G),
17:57, Morris L. (G),
23:19, Jones D. (Behind),
26:09, O'Halloran X. (G),
4th Quarter (23 - 32)
00:48, Cadman A. (G),
03:26, Cameron C. (Behind),
04:25, Delana J. (Behind),
07:09, Himmelberg H. (G),
09:03, Cadman A. (G),
13:23, Brown C. (G),
15:37, Morris L. (G),
17:00, Brown C. (G),
18:50, Jones D. (Behind),
19:27, Fletcher J. (G),
21:13, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
22:36, Rayner C. (G),
24:37, Rayner C. (Behind),
26:07, Ah Chee C. (Behind),
30:04, Morris L. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Brisbane Lions
75.4%

Greater Western Sydney Giants
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Lions's performance.

Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greater Western Sydney Giants might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greater Western Sydney Giants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)		3.66 ↑ (2.91)	6.3% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
GWS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Brisbane is seen as the favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1667:1809. (average 87.7:95.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 904:1037. (average 90.4:103.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Lions won against Greater Western Sydney Giants?

Brisbane Lions has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greater Western Sydney Giants won against Brisbane Lions?

Greater Western Sydney Giants has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:

14.09.2024 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions 100:105

09.08.2024 Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants 64:82

25.04.2024 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions 113:59

22.04.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Brisbane Lions 87:108

Latest results of Brisbane Lions

06.06.2025 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 68:63 ✺

29.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Essendon Bombers 90:72 ✺

24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93 ✺

18.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons 88:99 ✺

11.05.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Brisbane Lions 71:71 ✺

Latest results of Greater Western Sydney Giants

07.06.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Port Adelaide Power 50:66 ✺

31.05.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Richmond Tigers 80:77 ✺

23.05.2025 Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants 82:110 ✺

17.05.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Fremantle Dockers 61:95 ✺

11.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants 101:105 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	20	15	0	5	2019:1401	144.11	60
2	Collingwood Magpies	20	15	0	5	1807:1382	130.75	60
3	Brisbane Lions	20	14	1	5	1781:1589	112.08	58
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Gold Coast Suns	19	13	0	6	1784:1426	125.11	52
6	Hawthorn Hawks	20	13	0	7	1764:1500	117.60	52
7	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
8	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
9	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
10	Sydney Swans	20	10	0	10	1567:1650	94.97	40
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Melbourne Demons	20	7	0	13	1671:1759	95.00	28
13	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	19	6	0	13	1281:1780	71.97	24
16	Richmond Tigers	20	5	0	15	1246:1903	65.48	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	20	1	0	19	1305:2107	61.94	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )