Essendon Bombers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants
Result
56:104
17/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
716
Behinds
148
Kicks
186244
Handballs
134133
Disposals
320377
Frees For
2510
Frees Against
1025
Clearances Completed
3041
Marks
75115
Tackles
4841
Hitouts
2442

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (5 - 12)
  • 01:32, Clarke A. (Behind),
  • 09:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:35, Greene T. (G),
  • 13:53, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 18:34, Cadman A. (G),
  • 21:30, Guelfi M. (Behind),
  • 27:17, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (9 - 39)
  • 01:28, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 06:33, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 10:11, Durham S. (Behind),
  • 11:35, Ridley J. (Behind),
  • 12:47, Gruzewski M. (G),
  • 15:33, Gruzewski M. (G),
  • 17:22, Stringer J. (G),
  • 19:53, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 21:52, Greene T. (Behind),
  • 24:03, Briggs K. (G),
  • 25:45, McMahon L. (G),
  • 27:24, Cadman A. (Behind),
  • 33:31, Riccardi J. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (26 - 32)
  • 01:11, McMahon L. (G),
  • 03:54, Green T. (G),
  • 06:20, Brown C. (Behind),
  • 07:42, Kako I. (G),
  • 11:03, Stringer J. (G),
  • 13:30, Brown C. (G),
  • 15:25, May A. (Behind),
  • 16:44, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 18:33, Stringer J. (Behind),
  • 19:15, Perkins A. (G),
  • 24:35, Brown C. (G),
  • 27:49, Stringer J. (G),
  • 30:09, Wright P. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (16 - 21)
  • 06:12, O'Halloran X. (G),
  • 08:35, Duursma X. (G),
  • 09:52, Greene T. (G),
  • 12:19, Wright P. (G),
  • 17:05, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 19:26, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
  • 20:36, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 22:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:00, Smartt O. (Behind),
  • 24:56, Bedford T. (Behind),
  • 26:49, Perkins A. (Behind),
  • 28:23, Jones D. (G),

Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
11.6%
Greater Western Sydney Giants
88.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 67.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Essendon Bombers's form might have worsened.
  • Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greater Western Sydney Giants's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.53
    (3.49)

    1.07
    (1.31)
    7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-45)
  • What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Essendon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). GWS will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 64:109.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2.
    • Essendon is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • GWS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, GWS is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1440:1546. (average 80:85.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 565:531. (average 80.7:75.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 82:62
    19.08.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers 162:36
    09.04.2023 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 88:75
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )