Essendon Bombers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 19
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2

Match Stats


Goals
7	16
Behinds
14	8
Kicks
186	244
Handballs
134	133
Disposals
320	377
Frees For
25	10
Frees Against
10	25
Clearances Completed
30	41
Marks
75	115
Tackles
48	41
Hitouts
24	42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (5 - 12)
01:32, Clarke A. (Behind),
09:01, (Behind Rushed),
11:35, Greene T. (G),
13:53, Smartt O. (Behind),
18:34, Cadman A. (G),
21:30, Guelfi M. (Behind),
27:17, Wright P. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (9 - 39)
01:28, Riccardi J. (G),
06:33, Wright P. (Behind),
10:11, Durham S. (Behind),
11:35, Ridley J. (Behind),
12:47, Gruzewski M. (G),
15:33, Gruzewski M. (G),
17:22, Stringer J. (G),
19:53, Riccardi J. (G),
21:52, Greene T. (Behind),
24:03, Briggs K. (G),
25:45, McMahon L. (G),
27:24, Cadman A. (Behind),
33:31, Riccardi J. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (26 - 32)
01:11, McMahon L. (G),
03:54, Green T. (G),
06:20, Brown C. (Behind),
07:42, Kako I. (G),
11:03, Stringer J. (G),
13:30, Brown C. (G),
15:25, May A. (Behind),
16:44, Perkins A. (Behind),
18:33, Stringer J. (Behind),
19:15, Perkins A. (G),
24:35, Brown C. (G),
27:49, Stringer J. (G),
30:09, Wright P. (G),
4th Quarter (16 - 21)
06:12, O'Halloran X. (G),
08:35, Duursma X. (G),
09:52, Greene T. (G),
12:19, Wright P. (G),
17:05, Wright P. (Behind),
19:26, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
20:36, Smartt O. (Behind),
22:01, (Behind Rushed),
23:00, Smartt O. (Behind),
24:56, Bedford T. (Behind),
26:49, Perkins A. (Behind),
28:23, Jones D. (G),

Chances of winning

Essendon Bombers
11.6%

Greater Western Sydney Giants
88.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

72.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Essendon Bombers's form might have worsened.

Greater Western Sydney Giants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greater Western Sydney Giants's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.53 ↑ (3.49)		1.07 ↓ (1.31)	7% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-45)

What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Essendon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). GWS will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 64:109.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2.
Essendon is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
GWS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, GWS is the clear favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1440:1546. (average 80:85.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 565:531. (average 80.7:75.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Essendon Bombers won against Greater Western Sydney Giants?

Essendon Bombers has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greater Western Sydney Giants won against Essendon Bombers?

Greater Western Sydney Giants has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:

11.05.2024 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 82:62

19.08.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Essendon Bombers 162:36

09.04.2023 Essendon Bombers - Greater Western Sydney Giants 88:75

Latest results of Essendon Bombers

12.07.2025 Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers 46:37 ✺

04.07.2025 Essendon Bombers - Gold Coast Suns 74:115 ✺

19.06.2025 Fremantle Dockers - Essendon Bombers 104:63 ✺

14.06.2025 Essendon Bombers - Geelong Cats 56:151 ✺

08.06.2025 Carlton Blues - Essendon Bombers 78:70 ✺

Latest results of Greater Western Sydney Giants

12.07.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats 111:85 ✺

04.07.2025 West Coast Eagles - Greater Western Sydney Giants 52:111 ✺

21.06.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gold Coast Suns 106:99 ✺

13.06.2025 Brisbane Lions - Greater Western Sydney Giants 96:107 ✺

07.06.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Port Adelaide Power 50:66 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	20	15	0	5	2019:1401	144.11	60
2	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	20	13	0	7	1764:1500	117.60	52
6	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
7	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
8	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
9	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )