Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
88:107
06/09/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Match Stats

Goals
1316
Behinds
1011
Kicks
196200
Handballs
163171
Disposals
359371
Frees For
1721
Frees Against
2117
Clearances Completed
5450
Marks
6061
Tackles
7670
Hitouts
5046

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (20 - 44)
  • 04:00, Hogan J. (Behind),
  • 07:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:30, Newcombe J. (G),
  • 14:58, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 16:34, Watson N. (G),
  • 18:53, Amon K. (G),
  • 24:01, Callaghan F. (G),
  • 25:19, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 26:39, Dear C. (G),
  • 28:31, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 30:42, Gunston J. (G),
  • 32:07, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 34:24, Dear C. (Behind),
  • 36:21, Bedford T. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (21 - 25)
  • 03:56, Briggs K. (G),
  • 08:22, Hogan J. (G),
  • 09:44, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 12:05, Jones D. (Behind),
  • 14:10, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 16:28, Jones D. (G),
  • 19:12, Stringer J. (Behind),
  • 21:20, Gunston J. (G),
  • 22:42, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:28, Gunston J. (G),
  • 31:51, Greene T. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (38 - 16)
  • 05:40, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 13:51, Cadman A. (Behind),
  • 14:26, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 15:17, Impey J. (Behind),
  • 15:53, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 17:31, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 19:41, Thomas H. (G),
  • 21:58, Kelly J. (G),
  • 26:35, Hogan J. (G),
  • 27:50, Bedford T. (G),
  • 29:04, Jiath C. (Behind),
  • 30:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 32:11, Kelly J. (G),
  • 34:48, O'Halloran X. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (9 - 22)
  • 01:44, Hogan J. (G),
  • 03:00, Stringer J. (Behind),
  • 04:30, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:49, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 12:46, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 14:05, Greene T. (Behind),
  • 17:17, Butler S. (G),
  • 18:29, Chol M. (G),
  • 20:32, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 28:32, Riccardi J. (Behind),
  • 30:37, Chol M. (G),

Chances of winning


Greater Western Sydney Giants
52.8%
Hawthorn Hawks
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greater Western Sydney Giants, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hawthorn Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.7)

    1.97
    (1.95)
    8.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. GWS (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Greater Western Sydney Giants will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:83.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 3.
    • GWS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hawthorn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that GWS will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, GWS won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1285:1331. (average 75.6:78.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 863:768. (average 86.3:76.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants 76:64
    03.08.2024 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks 84:82
    07.06.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants 85:79
    08.07.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks 85:72
    16.04.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks 77:75
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)100 : 47
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Brisbane Lions (3)
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)115 : 85

    Final
    1TBD #1Geelong Cats (2)