Result
 
                    88:107
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        06/09/2025 at  01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  AFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | AFL, Fox Footy | 
|  Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ | 
|  New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 | 
|  United-kingdom | TNT Sports 1 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Goals | 
|---|
| 13 | 16 | 
| Behinds | 
|---|
| 10 | 11 | 
| Kicks | 
|---|
| 196 | 200 | 
| Handballs | 
|---|
| 163 | 171 | 
| Disposals | 
|---|
| 359 | 371 | 
| Frees For | 
|---|
| 17 | 21 | 
| Frees Against | 
|---|
| 21 | 17 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 54 | 50 | 
| Marks | 
|---|
| 60 | 61 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 76 | 70 | 
| Hitouts | 
|---|
| 50 | 46 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Quarter (20 - 44)
- 04:00, Hogan J. (Behind), 
- 07:23,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 13:30, Newcombe J. (G), 
- 14:58, Macdonald C. (G), 
- 16:34, Watson N. (G), 
- 18:53, Amon K. (G), 
- 24:01, Callaghan F. (G), 
- 25:19, Chol M. (Behind), 
- 26:39, Dear C. (G), 
- 28:31, Riccardi J. (G), 
- 30:42, Gunston J. (G), 
- 32:07, Macdonald C. (G), 
- 34:24, Dear C. (Behind), 
- 36:21, Bedford T. (G), 
- 2nd Quarter (21 - 25)
- 03:56, Briggs K. (G), 
- 08:22, Hogan J. (G), 
- 09:44, Ginnivan J. (G), 
- 12:05, Jones D. (Behind), 
- 14:10, Macdonald C. (G), 
- 16:28, Jones D. (G), 
- 19:12, Stringer J. (Behind), 
- 21:20, Gunston J. (G), 
- 22:42,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 29:28, Gunston J. (G), 
- 31:51, Greene T. (Behind), 
- 3rd Quarter (38 - 16)
- 05:40, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind), 
- 13:51, Cadman A. (Behind), 
- 14:26, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 15:17, Impey J. (Behind), 
- 15:53, Ginnivan J. (G), 
- 17:31, Ginnivan J. (G), 
- 19:41, Thomas H. (G), 
- 21:58, Kelly J. (G), 
- 26:35, Hogan J. (G), 
- 27:50, Bedford T. (G), 
- 29:04, Jiath C. (Behind), 
- 30:54,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 32:11, Kelly J. (G), 
- 34:48, O'Halloran X. (G), 
- 4th Quarter (9 - 22)
- 01:44, Hogan J. (G), 
- 03:00, Stringer J. (Behind), 
- 04:30,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 07:49, Macdonald C. (Behind), 
- 12:46, Moore D. (Behind), 
- 14:05, Greene T. (Behind), 
- 17:17, Butler S. (G), 
- 18:29, Chol M. (G), 
- 20:32, Weddle J. (Behind), 
- 28:32, Riccardi J. (Behind), 
- 30:37, Chol M. (G), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Greater Western Sydney Giants 52.8%
 | Hawthorn Hawks 47.2%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.74 ↑ (1.7)
 | 
 | 1.97 ↑ (1.95)
 | 8.4% (10.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 169.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. GWS (votes: 1 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Greater Western Sydney Giants will win 
                    (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 88:83.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GWS won 3.
- GWS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hawthorn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that GWS will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, GWS won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 1285:1331. (average 75.6:78.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, GWS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 863:768. (average 86.3:76.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Greater Western Sydney Giants won against Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
                            Greater Western Sydney Giants has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Greater Western Sydney Giants?
                    
                    
                        
                             Hawthorn Hawks has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Greater Western Sydney Giants - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Greater Western Sydney Giants 
                                76:64
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.08.2024 
                                Greater Western Sydney Giants 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                84:82
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.06.2024 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Greater Western Sydney Giants 
                                85:79
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.07.2023 
                                Greater Western Sydney Giants 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                85:72
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.04.2023 
                                Greater Western Sydney Giants 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                77:75
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Greater Western Sydney Giants                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks