Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (167/259) | 82% (361/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (167/259) | 82% (361/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (15/62) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (46/89) | 50% (33/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽, Robles R. (A),
- 20', Ramos J. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽, Herrera C. (A),
- 33', Soto E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 3 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽,
- 57', Mensah R. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 57', Schipmann B. ↓, Lapsley W. ↑,
- 57', Garcia C. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
- 57', Boltz D. ↓, Gebhard D. ↑,
- 57', Mesias A. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
- 62', Mehl T. 🟨,
- 64', Benton D. 🟨,
- 70', Lee E. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑,
- 70', Soto E. ↓, Corvino P. ↑,
- 70', Viader D. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 78', Patti A. 🟨,
- 82', Herrera C. ↓, Anguiano C. ↑,
- 89', Evans C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Greenville Triumph
48.5% | Draw
27.4% | Forward Madison
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.64) |
3.31 ↑
(3.21) |
3.75 ↑
(3.74) |
9.1%
(18.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 1.
- Greenville is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Forward Madison has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Forward Madison may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Greenville is the team to beat.
- We predict that Forward Madison will win today's game, with odds of 3.8.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Greenville won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Greenville Triumph won against Forward Madison?
Greenville Triumph has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Greenville Triumph?
Forward Madison has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison were as follows:
12.07.2025
Forward Madison
-
Greenville Triumph
3:1
04.05.2024
Forward Madison
-
Greenville Triumph
3:2
23.03.2024
Greenville Triumph
-
Forward Madison
0:0
29.07.2023
Forward Madison
-
Greenville Triumph
1:1
01.07.2023
Greenville Triumph
-
Forward Madison
1:0
Latest results of Greenville Triumph
Latest results of Forward Madison
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | One Knoxville ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 51 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 49 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity ✔ | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | FC Naples ✔ | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 44 |
| 5 | Union Omaha ✔ | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 38:33 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Tormenta | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 48:46 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Charlotte Independ | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 44:46 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Forward Madison | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Greenville | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | AV Alta | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 32 |
| 12 | Texoma | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 30 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 38:50 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 40:55 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
