Result
3:1
12/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (401/450) | 79% (233/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (401/450) | 79% (233/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 43% (15/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (68/92) | 52% (43/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -1.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado ⚽, Brown N. (A),
- 21', Bubb Z. 🟥,
- 27', Garcia C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Mesias A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 0, Gebhard D. ⚽, Lucca Dourado (A),
- 59', Garcia C. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
- 59', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 63', Robles R. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
- 70', Lee E. ↓, Anguiano C. ↑,
- 70', Soto E. ↓, Benton D. ↑,
- 71', Gebhard D. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
- 75', Bartman N. ↓, Graffin A. ↑,
- 82', Polak T. ↓, Corvino P. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Marsh C. ⚽, Mensah R. (A),
- 89', 3 - 1, Galindrez J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Corvino P. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forward Madison
35.5% | Draw
30.7% | Greenville Triumph
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-3%)
Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.35) |
2.96 ↓
(3) |
2.69 ↓
(2.82) |
10.2%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.
- Forward Madison is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Greenville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Greenville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Greenville Triumph?
Forward Madison has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Greenville Triumph won against Forward Madison?
Greenville Triumph has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph were as follows:
04.05.2024
Forward Madison
-
Greenville Triumph
3:2
23.03.2024
Greenville Triumph
-
Forward Madison
0:0
29.07.2023
Forward Madison
-
Greenville Triumph
1:1
01.07.2023
Greenville Triumph
-
Forward Madison
1:0
15.04.2023
Forward Madison
-
Greenville Triumph
4:1
Latest results of Forward Madison
Latest results of Greenville Triumph
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independ | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 30:25 | 5 | 28 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | AV Alta | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Naples | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 26 |
| 7 | Texoma | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Greenville | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Forward Madison | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Richmond Kickers | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Tormenta | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 | Union Omaha | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
