Forward Madison vs Greenville Triumph – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph
Result
3:1
12/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.64
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
89% (401/450)79% (233/294)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.69
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2727
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
89% (401/450)79% (233/294)
Long passes
60% (31/52)43% (15/35)
Passes in final third
74% (68/92)52% (43/82)
Crosses
40% (4/10)57% (8/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.38
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1412
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5043
Clearances
3921
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.691.24
Goals prevented
-0.31-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Lucca Dourado , Brown N. (A),
  • 21', Bubb Z. 🟥,
  • 27', Garcia C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Mesias A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Gebhard D. , Lucca Dourado (A),
  • 59', Garcia C. , Viader D. ,
  • 59', Lucca Dourado , McLaughlin G. ,
  • 63', Robles R. , Mensah R. ,
  • 70', Lee E. , Anguiano C. ,
  • 70', Soto E. , Benton D. ,
  • 71', Gebhard D. , Galindrez J. ,
  • 75', Bartman N. , Graffin A. ,
  • 82', Polak T. , Corvino P. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Marsh C. , Mensah R. (A),
  • 89', 3 - 1, Galindrez J. ,
  • 90+2', Corvino P. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Forward Madison
35.5%
Draw
30.7%
Greenville Triumph
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.9% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 30.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.35)
    2.96
    (3)
    2.69
    (2.82)
    10.2%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.
    • Forward Madison is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Greenville's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Greenville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph were as follows:
    04.05.2024 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 3:2
    23.03.2024 Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison 0:0
    29.07.2023 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 1:1
    01.07.2023 Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison 1:0
    15.04.2023 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 4:1
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    Latest results of Greenville Triumph
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves20117233:191440
    2Spokane Velocity19115327:161138
    3One Knoxville1997327:171034
    4FC Naples2096528:23533
    5Charlotte Independ2187636:34231
    6AV Alta2178631:29229
    7Texoma2167828:35-725
    8Union Omaha20731028:31-324
    9Greenville2166929:31-224
    10Portland Hearts of Pine1749418:17121
    11Richmond Kickers21551128:35-720
    12Tormenta21551129:40-1120
    13Forward Madison20310717:22-519
    14Westchester SC1937929:39-1016

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