Result
1:1
08/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 25
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/411) | 74% (184/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/411) | 74% (184/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 22% (8/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (118/162) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (3/38) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Tito 🟨,
- 40', Adriano Martins 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lele ↓, Maranhao ↑,
- 46', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Yuri Alves ↑,
- 50', Jean Irmer 🟨,
- 62', Jean Dias ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 62', Jean Irmer ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Dantas ⚽,
- 71', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 72', Bruno Jose ↓, Robson ↑,
- 74', Ronald ↓, Radsley ↑,
- 80', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 81', Mayk ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 81', Robert Conceicao ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Kelvin ⚽, Radsley (A),
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
41.7% | Draw
32.2% | Atlético Goianiense
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Novorizontino's form might have worsened.Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.86) |
2.91 ↓
(3.18) |
3.6 ↓
(4.53) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 13).
- Novorizontino has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético GO's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Novorizontino could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Wallace
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
Pablo Dyego
(Inactive)
Rafael Donato
(Inactive)
Robson
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Atlético Goianiense?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Atlético Goianiense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:
04.05.2025
Atlético Goianiense
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
01.11.2023
Atlético Goianiense
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:2
07.07.2023
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:2
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
| 18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
