Grêmio Novorizontino vs Atlético Goianiense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/09/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte).

Serie B Superbet - Round 25
Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.32
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	1
Passes
84% (345/411)	74% (184/248)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33	0.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	0.05
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
10	6
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
8	5
Shots outside the Box
11	4
Hit the Woodwork
3	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
31	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
15	20
Passes
84% (345/411)	74% (184/248)
Long passes
56% (31/55)	22% (8/36)
Passes in final third
73% (118/162)	56% (40/72)
Crosses
8% (3/38)	44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.37
Throw-ins
19	29
Fouls
21	15
Tackles
69% (9/13)	57% (4/7)
Duels won
48	41
Clearances
23	45
Interceptions
4	7
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.05	1.18
Goals prevented
-0.95	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Tito 🟨,
40', Adriano Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lele ↓, Maranhao ↑,
46', Kauan Rodrigues ↓, Yuri Alves ↑,
50', Jean Irmer 🟨,
62', Jean Dias ↓, Kelvin ↑,
62', Jean Irmer ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Dantas ⚽,
71', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
72', Bruno Jose ↓, Robson ↑,
74', Ronald ↓, Radsley ↑,
80', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
81', Mayk ↓, Patrick ↑,
81', Robert Conceicao ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Kelvin ⚽, Radsley (A),

Chances of winning

Grêmio Novorizontino
41.7%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Goianiense
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

31.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Novorizontino's form might have worsened.

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.86)	2.91 ↓ (3.18)	3.6 ↓ (4.53)	7% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

EH -1 - Atlético GO (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 13).
Novorizontino has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético GO's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Novorizontino could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
There will not play in Atlético GO: Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wallace (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Pablo Dyego (Inactive) Rafael Donato (Inactive) Robson (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Atlético Goianiense?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Atlético Goianiense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:

04.05.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0

01.11.2023 Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2

07.07.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 2:2

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

30.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:0 ✺

14.08.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0 ✺

03.08.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Avaí 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Goianiense

31.08.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Amazonas 2:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense 2:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Ferroviária 1:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺

04.08.2025 Athletic Club - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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