Atlético Goianiense vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia).

Serie B Superbet - Round 6
Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	0.87
Ball Possession
29%	71%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
62% (123/200)	88% (440/502)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	0.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.52	0.46
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
3	6
Shots outside the Box
7	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
9	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
11	16
Passes
62% (123/200)	88% (440/502)
Long passes
26% (17/65)	51% (23/45)
Passes in final third
39% (22/57)	80% (103/129)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	24% (7/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.59
Throw-ins
20	20
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
86% (6/7)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
35	48
Clearances
24	15
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
0.46	0.52
Goals prevented
0.46	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Dantas 🟨,
27', Jean Irmer 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Marcelinho ⚽,
38', Marcelinho 🟥,
40', Dantas ↓, Waguininho ↑,
40', Jean Irmer ↓, Marlon ↑,
41', Waguininho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Lucca ↑,
66', Rafael Donato ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
70', Robert Conceicao ↓, Ruan Teixeira ↑,
70', Sandro Lima ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
72', Luis Oyama ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
79', Willian Pottker ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
81', Luizao 🟨,
87', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', Vladimir 🟨,
90+6', Leo Naldi 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atlético Goianiense
37.3%

Draw
32.2%

Grêmio Novorizontino
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Goianiense's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.1)	2.91 ↓ (3.13)	3.08 ↓ (3.59)	6.7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Novorizontino has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Atlético GO: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Rhaldney (Yellow Cards) Shaylon (Injury)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Cesar Martins (Injury) Renato Palm (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Including home match between the teams, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Atlético Goianiense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Atlético Goianiense?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:

01.11.2023 Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:2

07.07.2023 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 2:2

Latest results of Atlético Goianiense

27.04.2025 Amazonas - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺

17.04.2025 Ferroviária - Atlético Goianiense 2:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

30.04.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians 0:1 ✺

24.04.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma 1:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Volta Redonda 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Goias	17	11	3	3	23:13	10	36
2	Coritiba	18	10	4	4	19:12	7	34
3	Novorizontino	17	8	7	2	22:12	10	31
4	Vila Nova FC	18	8	3	7	17:16	1	27
5	Chapecoense-SC	17	8	2	7	21:16	5	26
6	Remo	17	6	8	3	19:15	4	26
7	Cuiaba	17	7	4	6	19:20	-1	25
8	Avai	17	6	7	4	20:18	2	25
9	Athletico-PR	18	7	3	8	22:24	-2	24
10	Criciuma	17	6	5	6	20:17	3	23
11	Athletic Club	18	7	1	10	21:25	-4	22
12	Operario-PR	18	6	4	8	21:20	1	22
13	CRB	18	6	4	8	16:18	-2	22
14	Atletico GO	18	5	7	6	18:20	-2	22
15	America MG	17	6	2	9	17:21	-4	20
16	Ferroviaria	18	4	7	7	18:22	-4	19
17	Paysandu PA	17	4	6	7	16:19	-3	18
18	Volta Redonda	17	4	6	7	10:16	-6	18
19	Botafogo SP	17	4	6	7	12:20	-8	18
20	Amazonas	17	4	5	8	16:23	-7	17

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )