América Mineiro vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
28/10/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 30

Highlights

Chances of winning


América Mineiro
40.3%
Draw
27.7%
Grêmio
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.3% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 28.3% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • América Mineiro - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.5)
    3.44
    (3.3)
    2.93
    (2.72)
    5.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for América Mineiro - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 26.9%73.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 1.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Recently América MG have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in América MG: Rodrigo Varanda (Injury)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Carballo F. (Injury) Cuiabano (Injury) Ely R. (Injury) Felipe Scheibig (Injury) Mila (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches América MG won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América Mineiro - Grêmio were as follows:
    22.06.2023 Grêmio - América Mineiro 3:1
    Latest results of América Mineiro
    Latest results of Grêmio
    25.10.2023 Grêmio - Flamengo 3:2
    21.10.2023 São Paulo - Grêmio 3:0
    08.10.2023 Internacional RS - Grêmio 3:2
    30.09.2023 Fortaleza - Grêmio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras1182121:101126
    2Flamengo RJ1062218:10820
    3Sao Paulo1162315:9620
    4Fluminense1162318:13520
    5Bahia1062215:10520
    6Athletico-PR1161417:13419
    7Coritiba1144313:12116
    8Atletico-MG1142514:13114
    9Bragantino1142511:12-114
    10Vitoria1042411:14-314
    11Botafogo RJ1041518:21-313
    12Gremio1134414:14013
    13Vasco1134416:17-113
    14Internacional113449:10-113
    15Santos1134414:16-213
    16Corinthians112548:11-311
    17Cruzeiro1124514:21-710
    18Remo1115511:18-78
    19Chapecoense-SC1015410:18-88
    20Mirassol1013611:16-56

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B