Cruzeiro vs Grêmio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Grêmio
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 13
  • Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
Cruzeiro - Grêmio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
58.7%
Draw
26.2%
Grêmio
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 26.8% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 28.2% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Cruzeiro - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.74)
    3.62
    (3.55)
    6.28
    (5.13)
    5.3%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Grêmio?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
    • Cruzeiro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Grêmio is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury) Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G. (Muscle Injury) Joao Lucas (Muscle Injury) Joao Pedro (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Olivera C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Grêmio were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 1:1
    10.07.2024 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 0:2
    27.08.2023 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 3:0
    31.05.2023 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 0:1
    17.05.2023 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    06.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Banfield 1:0
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1
    28.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Unión Santa Fe 0:0
    Latest results of Grêmio
    12.06.2025 Grêmio - Corinthians 1:1
    01.06.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 0:2
    25.05.2025 Grêmio - Bahia 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1283126:42227
    2Bragantino1382316:12426
    3Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    4Bahia1373316:12424
    5Palmeiras1171312:8422
    6Botafogo RJ1263316:7921
    7Fluminense1162315:12320
    8Atletico-MG1355314:12220
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1344514:17-316
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Internacional1335513:18-514
    14Vasco1341814:18-413
    15Sao Paulo1326510:16-612
    16Santos1232711:14-311
    17Vitoria1325610:15-511
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - Grêmio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video
    ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
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