Result
0:1
05/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 32
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (335/402) | 79% (250/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (335/402) | 79% (250/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 39% (15/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (78/116) | 73% (72/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Mano Menezes 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Fabricio Bruno ⚽, William Furtado (A),
- 45+1', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Dodi ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 63', Joao Lucas ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
- 68', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 69', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 73', Arroyo K. 🟨,
- 74', Arroyo K. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
- 76', Amuzu F. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 76', Alysson ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
- 79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 88', Matheus Pereira ↓, Walace ↑,
- 88', Lucas Silva ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 88', Edenilson ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
28.3% | Draw
29% | Cruzeiro
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Grêmio - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(3.11) |
3.29 ↑
(3.22) |
2.25 ↓
(2.34) |
4.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Cruzeiro?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 13.8% – 61.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Grêmio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cruzeiro could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Willian
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Ribs Injury)
Wanderson
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Arroyo K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Cruzeiro?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Grêmio?
Cruzeiro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Cruzeiro were as follows:
13.07.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
4:1
27.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
1:1
10.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
27.08.2023
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
3:0
31.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
0:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras ✔ | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 58:28 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:20 | 44 | 68 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 54:33 | 21 | 59 |
| 5 | Bahia | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 44:40 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Vasco | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 50:49 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 38:50 | -12 | 42 |
| 12 | Ceara | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Gremio | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:46 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 29:47 | -18 | 35 |
| 17 | Santos | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 18 | Juventude | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 29:59 | -30 | 32 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 34:51 | -17 | 31 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:55 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
