Result
4:1
13/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 13
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.44 | 0.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (302/362) | 84% (364/431) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.44 | 0.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
4.14 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
83% (302/362) | 84% (364/431) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (20/44) | 54% (26/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (76/106) | 72% (52/72) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (4/15) | 41% (7/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.43 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (12/18) | 50% (7/14) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 4.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.17 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', Kaiki 🟨,
- 21', William Furtado ↓, Fagner ↑,
- 25', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Villalba L. ⚽, Christian (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gustavo Martins ↓, Igor Serrote ↑,
- 46', Amuzu F. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 52', Alex Santana 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
- 56', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
- 60', Arezo M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 60', Cristaldo F. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Andre Henrique ⚽, Edenilson (A),
- 66', Christian 🟨,
- 77', 4 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Romero L. (A),
- 79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 79', Wanderson ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 79', Alysson ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 83', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 83', Romero L. ↓, Walace ↑,
- 84', Matheus Pereira ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro 58.7% | Draw 26.2% | Grêmio 15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Cruzeiro - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.74) |
3.62 ↑ (3.55) |
6.28 ↑ (5.13) |
5.3% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Grêmio?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cruzeiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.
- Cruzeiro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grêmio is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G.
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Olivera C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Grêmio?
Cruzeiro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Cruzeiro?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Grêmio were as follows:
27.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
1:1
10.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
0:2
27.08.2023
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
3:0
31.05.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Grêmio
0:1
17.05.2023
Grêmio
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet