Grêmio vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre).

Serie A Betano - Round 32
Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.62
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
83% (335/402)	79% (250/317)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.45	0.83
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
2	0
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
31	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
17	15
Passes
83% (335/402)	79% (250/317)
Long passes
55% (31/56)	39% (15/38)
Passes in final third
67% (78/116)	73% (72/99)
Crosses
21% (7/33)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.54
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
15	17
Tackles
88% (7/8)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
40	37
Clearances
9	38
Interceptions
16	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	6
xGOT faced
0.83	1.45
Goals prevented
-0.17	1.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Mano Menezes 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Fabricio Bruno ⚽, William Furtado (A),
45+1', Lucas Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Dodi ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
63', Joao Lucas ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
68', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
69', Villalba L. 🟨,
73', Arroyo K. 🟨,
74', Arroyo K. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
76', Amuzu F. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
76', Alysson ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
79', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
88', Matheus Pereira ↓, Walace ↑,
88', Lucas Silva ↓, Eduardo ↑,
88', Edenilson ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grêmio
28.3%

Draw
29%

Cruzeiro
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

28.8%

41%

Grêmio - Cruzeiro Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.11)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	2.25 ↓ (2.34)	4.8% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Grêmio - Cruzeiro?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 13.8% – 61.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
Grêmio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cruzeiro could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fabian Balbuena (Ankle Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Marcos Rocha (Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury) Willian (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Janderson (Knee Injury) Marquinhos (Knee Injury) Matheus Henrique (Ribs Injury) Wanderson (Injury)
There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Arroyo K. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Cruzeiro?

Grêmio has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Grêmio?

Cruzeiro has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Cruzeiro were as follows:

13.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 4:1

27.11.2024 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 1:1

10.07.2024 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 0:2

27.08.2023 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 3:0

31.05.2023 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 0:1

Latest results of Grêmio

02.11.2025 Corinthians - Grêmio 2:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Grêmio - Juventude 3:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Bahia - Grêmio 4:0 ✺

16.10.2025 Grêmio - São Paulo 2:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cruzeiro

01.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador 3:1 ✺

26.10.2025 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 0:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:0 ✺

15.10.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 1:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Sport Recife 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bragantino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Internacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Vasco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gremio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Botafogo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sao Paulo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coritiba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cruzeiro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vitoria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atletico-MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fluminense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Flamengo RJ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Palmeiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Athletico-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Corinthians	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mirassol	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Remo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Chapecoense-SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet