Result
0:0
26/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Spain | Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/315) | 76% (220/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (226/315) | 76% (220/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (35/82) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (55/98) | 60% (72/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 33% (2/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Wanderson ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
- 15', Gomez G. 🟨,
- 17', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 33', Khellven 🟨,
- 34', Romero L. 🟨,
- 37', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Felipe Anderson ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
- 63', Lopez J. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 63', Vitor Roque ↓, Allan ↑,
- 67', Khellven ↓, Giay A. ↑,
- 71', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 73', Arroyo K. ↓, Jonathan Jesus ↑,
- 79', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 85', Kaiki 🟨,
- 90+5', Matheus Pereira ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 90+8', Lucas Silva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
55.9% | Draw
25.5% | Cruzeiro
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Palmeiras - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.67) |
3.71 ↓
(3.75) |
5.04 ↑
(5) |
5.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Cruzeiro?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Cruzeiro (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Cruzeiro (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Palmeiras (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Piquerez J.
(Red Card)
Weverton
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Injury)
Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Matheus Henrique
(Ribs Injury)
Sinisterra L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Kaua Prates
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Cruzeiro?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Palmeiras?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Cruzeiro were as follows:
01.06.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Palmeiras
2:1
04.12.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Palmeiras
1:2
20.07.2024
Palmeiras
-
Cruzeiro
2:0
06.12.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Palmeiras
1:1
14.08.2023
Palmeiras
-
Cruzeiro
1:0
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
