Result
1:0
02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (369/449) | 79% (282/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (369/449) | 79% (282/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/142) | 67% (45/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Everaldo ⚽, Guga (A),
- 45+3', Joao Lucas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villasanti M. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 46', Joao Lucas ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
- 46', Hercules ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
- 66', Keno ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 66', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 66', Freitas dos Santos R. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 67', Pavon C. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
- 76', Everaldo (Pen),
- 83', Everaldo ↓, Cano G. ↑,
- 83', Serna K. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 84', Alysson ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 86', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
- 90+4', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
51% | Draw
28.4% | Grêmio
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Fluminense - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.9) |
3.34 ↓
(3.4) |
4.61 ↑
(4.18) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Recent form of Fluminense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Grêmio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Yellow Cards)
Ignacio
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Inactive)
Cuellar G.
(Thigh Injury)
Fabian Balbuena
(Inactive)
Joao Pedro
(Broken ankle)
Marlon
(Yellow Cards)
Olivera C.
(Yellow Cards)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Rene
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Serna K.
(Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Gustavo Martins
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Grêmio?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Fluminense?
Grêmio has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Grêmio were as follows:
01.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
2:2
20.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
3:1
13.08.2024
Grêmio
-
Fluminense
2:1
30.06.2024
Grêmio
-
Fluminense
1:0
06.12.2023
Fluminense
-
Grêmio
2:3
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
