Fluminense vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Grêmio
02/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fluminense
49.7%
Draw
27.8%
Grêmio
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.8% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Fluminense - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.9)
    3.4
    (3.4)
    4.25
    (4.18)
    5.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
    • Recent form of Fluminense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grêmio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Fluminense has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Grêmio were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Fluminense - Grêmio 2:2
    20.08.2024 Fluminense - Grêmio 3:1
    13.08.2024 Grêmio - Fluminense 2:1
    30.06.2024 Grêmio - Fluminense 1:0
    06.12.2023 Fluminense - Grêmio 2:3
    Latest results of Fluminense
    23.07.2025 Fluminense - Palmeiras 1:2
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    17.07.2025 Fluminense - Cruzeiro 0:2
    13.07.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense Postponed
    08.07.2025 Fluminense - Chelsea 0:2
    Latest results of Grêmio
    26.07.2025 Palmeiras - Grêmio 1:0
    24.07.2025 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ Postponed
    23.07.2025 Grêmio - Alianza Lima 1:1
    19.07.2025 Vasco da Gama - Grêmio 1:1
    16.07.2025 Alianza Lima - Grêmio 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1783620:20027
    5Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Corinthians1756616:20-421
    9Fluminense1462616:17-120
    10Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    11Internacional1555516:19-320
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Santos1643915:21-615
    17Vasco1442815:19-414
    18Fortaleza1535716:21-514
    19Juventude1432910:29-1911
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet