Grêmio vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/12/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Grêmio
35.1%
Draw
30.3%
Fluminense
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 29.9% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 32.3% 31.5%

Grêmio - Fluminense Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.72
(2.63)
3.13
(3.17)
2.74
(2.79)
5.3%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
  • Grêmio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Fluminense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Fluminense were as follows:
02.08.2025 Fluminense - Grêmio 1:0
01.11.2024 Fluminense - Grêmio 2:2
20.08.2024 Fluminense - Grêmio 3:1
13.08.2024 Grêmio - Fluminense 2:1
30.06.2024 Grêmio - Fluminense 1:0
Latest results of Grêmio
25.11.2025 Grêmio - Palmeiras 3:2
22.11.2025 Botafogo RJ - Grêmio 3:2
19.11.2025 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 2:0
09.11.2025 Fortaleza - Grêmio 2:2
05.11.2025 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 0:1
Latest results of Fluminense
27.11.2025 Fluminense - São Paulo 6:0
22.11.2025 Palmeiras - Fluminense 0:0
19.11.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 2:1
09.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Fluminense 0:0
06.11.2025 Fluminense - Mirassol 1:0
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025
PlWDLDiffPts
1Flamengo RJ ✔ 36229574:245075
2Palmeiras ✔ 36217860:322870
3Cruzeiro351911552:252768
4Mirassol361712758:362263
5Fluminense361771246:38858
6Botafogo RJ351610950:321858
7Bahia361691148:44457
8Sao Paulo361391440:46-648
9Gremio3612101442:48-646
10Vasco361361755:53245
11Bragantino361361740:54-1445
12Corinthians351291438:42-445
13Atletico-MG3511121238:40-245
14Ceara351191532:35-342
15Vitoria3610121434:48-1442
16Santos3610111539:50-1141
17Internacional3610111541:53-1241
18Fortaleza359101638:53-1537
19Juventude36972034:65-3134
20Sport Recife362112328:69-4117

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )