Fortaleza vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
2:2
09/11/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 33
  • Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.042.31
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
96
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
85% (332/389)85% (284/333)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.042.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.96
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
1218
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2630
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
85% (332/389)85% (284/333)
Long passes
49% (19/39)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
75% (103/137)77% (55/71)
Crosses
17% (3/18)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.54
Throw-ins
1210
Fouls
1518
Tackles
64% (9/14)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.961.47
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Bareiro A. ⚽, Pochettino T. (A),
  • 9', Britez E. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Carlos Vinicius ⚽,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Marlon ⚽, Carlos Vinicius (A),
  • 44', Noriega E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Sasha ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
  • 46', Pochettino T. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
  • 46', Lucas Crispim ↓, Moises ↑,
  • 59', Cuellar G. 🟨,
  • 62', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
  • 62', Alysson ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
  • 62', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
  • 64', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Pereira M. ⚽,
  • 68', Cuellar G. ↓, Dodi ↑,
  • 71', Edenilson 🟨,
  • 79', Amuzu F. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
  • 79', Edenilson ↓, Gustavo Martins ↑,
  • 82', Pierre ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
  • 83', Matheus Rossetto 🟨,
  • 89', Breno Lopes ↓, Deyverson ↑,
  • 90+3', Bareiro A. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Pereira M. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
46.3%		Draw
27.9%		Grêmio
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 28.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 29.3% 27.6%

Fortaleza - Grêmio Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.06 ↓
(2.11)		 3.41 ↑
(3.31)		 3.67 ↑
(3.51)		 5.2%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Grêmio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • Users Predictions: Fortaleza will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Grêmio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fortaleza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Allanzinho (Inactive) Benevenuto (Hamstring Injury) Joao Ricardo (Shoulder Injury) Rodrigo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fabian Balbuena (Ankle Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury) Villasanti M. (Knee Injury) Willian (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Bareiro A. (Injury) Marinho (Ankle Injury) Moises (Injury) Weverson (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Marcos Rocha (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Grêmio were as follows:
    29.07.2025 Grêmio - Fortaleza 2:1
    04.10.2024 Grêmio - Fortaleza 3:1
    19.06.2024 Fortaleza - Grêmio 1:0
    30.09.2023 Fortaleza - Grêmio 1:1
    14.05.2023 Grêmio - Fortaleza 0:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    06.11.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Santos - Fortaleza 1:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Fortaleza - Flamengo 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Cruzeiro - Fortaleza 1:0 ✺
    15.10.2025 Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Grêmio
    05.11.2025 Grêmio - Cruzeiro 0:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Corinthians - Grêmio 2:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Grêmio - Juventude 3:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Bahia - Grêmio 4:0 ✺
    16.10.2025 Grêmio - São Paulo 2:0 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

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