Result
11/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
São Paulo
44.2% | Draw
31.5% | Grêmio
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
São Paulo - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.99) |
2.94 ↓
(3.25) |
3.92 ↑
(3.58) |
5.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- São Paulo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Grêmio?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against São Paulo?
Grêmio has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Grêmio were as follows:
16.10.2025
Grêmio
-
São Paulo
2:0
17.05.2025
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
2:1
01.12.2024
Grêmio
-
São Paulo
2:1
17.07.2024
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
1:0
21.10.2023
São Paulo
-
Grêmio
3:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bragantino | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Chapecoense-SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Gremio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Athletico-PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Flamengo RJ | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Internacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Remo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
