Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro).

Serie A Betano - Round 15
Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	0.83
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
31	9
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
89% (462/517)	77% (234/304)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	0.90
Total shots
31	9
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
12	4
Blocked Shots
12	1
Shots inside the Box
15	5
Shots outside the Box
16	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
12	2
Touches in opposition box
29	6
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
15	16
Passes
89% (462/517)	77% (234/304)
Long passes
71% (22/31)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
79% (116/147)	65% (26/40)
Crosses
18% (7/38)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.54
Throw-ins
22	17
Fouls
16	15
Tackles
67% (8/12)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
46	50
Clearances
7	39
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.90	1.74
Goals prevented
-0.10	0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Edenilson 🟨,
44', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
45+2', Olivera C. 🟨,
45+6', Alex Santana 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Edenilson ↓, Villasanti M. ↑,
54', Olivera C. ↓, Pavon C. ↑,
54', Alex Santana ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
60', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Lucas Freitas ⚽,
68', Alysson ↓, Freitas dos Santos R. ↑,
75', Braithwaite M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
76', David ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
79', Joao Victor 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Gustavo Martins ⚽, Pavon C. (A),
86', Joao Victor ↓, Augusto L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Vasco da Gama
44.2%

Draw
30.2%

Grêmio
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30%

31.2%

Vasco da Gama - Grêmio Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.41)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	3.69 ↑ (3)	5.5% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Grêmio?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Grêmio will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Vasco will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Inactive) Thiago Mendes (Inactive)
There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G. (Muscle Injury) Joao Lucas (Muscle Injury) Joao Pedro (Ankle Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:26. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.8:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Grêmio?

Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vasco da Gama?

Grêmio has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Grêmio were as follows:

28.07.2024 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 1:0

14.04.2024 Vasco da Gama - Grêmio 2:1

03.12.2023 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 1:0

06.08.2023 Vasco da Gama - Grêmio 1:0

11.09.2022 Grêmio - Vasco da Gama 2:1

Latest results of Vasco da Gama

15.07.2025 Independiente del Valle - Vasco da Gama 4:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ 0:2 ✺

12.06.2025 São Paulo - Vasco da Gama 1:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Red Bull Bragantino 0:2 ✺

27.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio

16.07.2025 Alianza Lima - Grêmio 2:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Cruzeiro - Grêmio 4:1 ✺

08.07.2025 Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre 2:0 ✺

12.06.2025 Grêmio - Corinthians 1:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Juventude - Grêmio 0:2 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palmeiras	31	21	5	5	57:26	31	68
2	Flamengo RJ	31	19	8	4	61:18	43	65
3	Cruzeiro	32	18	9	5	46:22	24	63
4	Mirassol	32	15	11	6	52:32	20	56
5	Bahia	33	15	8	10	44:40	4	53
6	Botafogo RJ	32	14	9	9	44:28	16	51
7	Fluminense	32	15	5	12	38:37	1	50
8	Sao Paulo	33	12	9	12	37:36	1	45
9	Atletico-MG	32	11	10	11	34:34	0	43
10	Vasco	33	12	6	15	50:49	1	42
11	Bragantino	33	12	6	15	38:50	-12	42
12	Corinthians	32	11	9	12	35:37	-2	42
13	Ceara	32	10	9	13	30:30	0	39
14	Gremio	32	10	9	13	33:41	-8	39
15	Internacional	33	9	10	14	37:46	-9	37
16	Vitoria	32	8	10	14	29:47	-18	34
17	Santos	31	8	9	14	31:45	-14	33
18	Juventude	33	9	5	19	29:59	-30	32
19	Fortaleza	31	7	8	16	29:46	-17	29
20	Sport Recife	32	2	11	19	24:55	-31	17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet