Result
22/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
44.3% | Draw
28.4% | Grêmio
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Vasco da Gama - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.09) |
3.31 ↓
(3.41) |
3.42 ↓
(3.53) |
6.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
- Recent performances by Vasco have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Grêmio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Vasco will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Grêmio?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vasco da Gama?
Grêmio has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Grêmio were as follows:
19.11.2025
Grêmio
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
19.07.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Grêmio
1:1
28.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
14.04.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Grêmio
2:1
03.12.2023
Grêmio
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bahia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Gremio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletico-PR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Vasco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Remo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Internacional | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
