Result
2:0
19/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 34
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (308/357) | 90% (561/621) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (308/357) | 90% (561/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 52% (17/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (75/100) | 80% (86/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Lucas Piton 🟨,
- 42', Wagner Leonardo 🟨,
- 43', Pavon C. 🟨,
- 44', Coutinho 🟨,
- 45+4', Arthur Melo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Piton ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Carlos Vinicius ⚽, Pavon C. (A),
- 54', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 67', Marcos Rocha ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 69', Cauan Barros ↓, Thiago Mendes ↑,
- 69', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
- 73', Cristaldo F. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 73', Pavon C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 80', Vegetti P. ↓, GB ↑,
- 81', Carlos Vinicius ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 81', Arthur Melo ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Amuzu F. ⚽, Dodi (A),
- 87', Coutinho ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 90+1', Alysson 🟨,
- 90+4', Victor Luis ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
- 90+4', Amuzu F. ↓, Lucas Esteves ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
46.7% | Draw
26.3% | Vasco da Gama
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Grêmio - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.2) |
3.59 ↑
(3.48) |
3.48 ↑
(3.16) |
4.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 62.1% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Grêmio (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Grêmio (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Grêmio (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Vasco (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grêmio will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 16 - 80%). Vasco (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Recent form of Grêmio has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vasco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grêmio could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Edenilson
(Yellow Cards)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Pedro
(Muscle Injury)
Olivera C.
(Ankle Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
Willian
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Carlos Vinicius
(Injury)
Marcos Rocha
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Garre B.
(Pelvis Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:3. (average 1.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vasco da Gama?
Grêmio has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Grêmio?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
19.07.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Grêmio
1:1
28.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
14.04.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Grêmio
2:1
03.12.2023
Grêmio
-
Vasco da Gama
1:0
06.08.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Grêmio
1:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
