Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (387/441) | 84% (323/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (387/441) | 84% (323/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (94/119) | 70% (71/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/35) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Pepe 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Jemerson ⚽, Wagner Leonardo (A),
- 22', Villasanti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Erick ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 46', Gustavo Silva ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 55', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 56', Pepe ↓, Baralhas ↑,
- 58', Edenilson ↓, Nathan ↑,
- 58', Cristaldo F. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Carlinhos ⚽, Jamerson (A),
- 69', Claudinho 🟨,
- 73', Janderson ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 75', Villasanti M. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 75', Braithwaite M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 76', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 84', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 88', Matheuzinho ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
40.5% | Draw
30.9% | Grêmio
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Vitória Salvador - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.47) |
3.05 ↓
(3.27) |
3.3 ↑
(2.86) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Vitória will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
Wellington Rato
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Gabriel Grando
(Red Card)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
Wagner Leonardo
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:20 (average 0.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Grêmio?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vitória Salvador?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Grêmio were as follows:
04.12.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
21.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
