Result
2:0
19/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (292/350) | 85% (394/461) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (292/350) | 85% (394/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (81/110) | 66% (72/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Camutanga (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 0, Amuzu F. ⚽, Weverton (A),
- 56', Willian ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 56', Nardoni J. ↓, Noriega E. ↑,
- 59', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
- 63', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
- 75', Nathan Mendes ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 75', Camutanga ↓, Cantalapiedra A. ↑,
- 76', Marlon ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 86', Amuzu F. ↓, Gabriel Mec ↑,
- 86', Enamorado J. ↓, Tete ↑,
- 87', Erick ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 87', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 90', Gabriel Mec 🟨,
- 90+3', Renato Kayzer ↓, Anderson ↑,
- 90+5', Cantalapiedra A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
52.1% | Draw
27.4% | Vitória Salvador
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Grêmio - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.67) |
3.48 ↓
(3.97) |
4.61 ↓
(4.94) |
5.1%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Vitória Salvador?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grêmio will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Grêmio is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Arthur Melo
(Injury)
Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gustavo Martins
(Inactive)
Joao Pedro
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Muscle Injury)
Dudu
(Inactive)
Edu
(Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Marinho
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:9. (average 1.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vitória Salvador?
Grêmio has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Grêmio?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
28.09.2025
Grêmio
-
Vitória Salvador
3:1
27.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
04.12.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
21.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
