Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 1.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Passes |
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88% (387/441) | 84% (323/385) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 1.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.02 | 1.85 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 20 |
Passes |
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88% (387/441) | 84% (323/385) |
Long passes |
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53% (26/49) | 36% (16/44) |
Passes in final third |
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79% (94/119) | 70% (71/101) |
Crosses |
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29% (10/35) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.37 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 11 |
Tackles |
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76% (13/17) | 41% (7/17) |
Duels won |
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44 | 60 |
Clearances |
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18 | 33 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.85 | 1.02 |
Goals prevented |
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0.54 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Pepe 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Jemerson ⚽, Wagner Leonardo (A),
- 22', Villasanti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Erick ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 46', Gustavo Silva ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 55', Carlinhos 🟨,
- 56', Pepe ↓, Baralhas ↑,
- 58', Edenilson ↓, Nathan ↑,
- 58', Cristaldo F. ↓, Monsalve M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Carlinhos ⚽, Jamerson (A),
- 69', Claudinho 🟨,
- 73', Janderson ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 75', Villasanti M. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
- 75', Braithwaite M. ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 76', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 84', Olivera C. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
- 88', Matheuzinho ↓, Ricardo Ryller ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador 40.5% | Draw 30.9% | Grêmio 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Vitória Salvador - Grêmio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↓ (2.47) |
3.05 ↓ (3.27) |
3.3 ↑ (2.86) |
5.6% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Grêmio?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Vitória will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel
(Muscle Injury)
Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
Wellington Rato
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Grêmio: Gabriel Grando
(Red Card)
Rodrigo Ely
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Mayk
(Hamstring Injury)
Wagner Leonardo
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:20 (average 0.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Grêmio?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vitória Salvador?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Grêmio were as follows:
04.12.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
21.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet