Result
28/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Grêmio
53.6% | Draw
26.5% | Vitória Salvador
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Grêmio - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.73) |
3.57 ↑
(3.5) |
4.76 ↓
(5) |
5.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Vitória Salvador?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 3.
- Grêmio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitória is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Grêmio is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Grêmio: Braithwaite M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Vinicius
(Injury)
Cuellar G.
(Inactive)
Fabian Balbuena
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Lucas
(Muscle Injury)
Monsalve M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Villasanti M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Dudu
(Red Card)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Pepe
(Yellow Cards)
Ramos R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grêmio: Freitas dos Santos R.
(Injury)
Rodrigo Ely
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Fabricio
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Vitória Salvador?
Grêmio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Grêmio?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
27.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
04.12.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Grêmio
1:1
21.07.2024
Grêmio
-
Vitória Salvador
2:0
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Vasco | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 30 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Internacional | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 28 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Juventude | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24:38 | -14 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 16:35 | -19 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
