Vitória Salvador vs Grêmio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Grêmio
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.56
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
88% (387/441)84% (323/385)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.021.85
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1120
Passes
88% (387/441)84% (323/385)
Long passes
53% (26/49)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
79% (94/119)70% (71/101)
Crosses
29% (10/35)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.84
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
2011
Tackles
76% (13/17)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4460
Clearances
1833
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.851.02
Goals prevented
0.540.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Pepe 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Jemerson , Wagner Leonardo (A),
  • 22', Villasanti M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Erick , Carlinhos ,
  • 46', Gustavo Silva , Fabricio ,
  • 55', Carlinhos 🟨,
  • 56', Pepe , Baralhas ,
  • 58', Edenilson , Nathan ,
  • 58', Cristaldo F. , Monsalve M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Carlinhos , Jamerson (A),
  • 69', Claudinho 🟨,
  • 73', Janderson , Lucas Braga ,
  • 75', Villasanti M. , Cuellar G. ,
  • 75', Braithwaite M. , Andre Henrique ,
  • 76', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 84', Olivera C. , Aravena A. ,
  • 88', Matheuzinho , Ricardo Ryller ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
40.5%
Draw
30.9%
Grêmio
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 28.8% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.1% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Grêmio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.47)
    3.05
    (3.27)
    3.3
    (2.86)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Grêmio?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Vitória will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Gabriel (Muscle Injury) Renato Kayzer (Thigh Injury) Wellington Rato (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Gabriel Grando (Red Card) Rodrigo Ely (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Mayk (Hamstring Injury) Wagner Leonardo (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:20 (average 0.5:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Grêmio were as follows:
    04.12.2024 Vitória Salvador - Grêmio 1:1
    21.07.2024 Grêmio - Vitória Salvador 2:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Grêmio
    24.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Grêmio 2:2
    19.04.2025 Grêmio - Internacional RS 1:1
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Grêmio - Flamengo 0:2
    08.04.2025 Grêmio - Atlético Grau 2:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Ceara1553714:15-118
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet