Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth).

2. Bundesliga - Round 23
Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.70	1.16
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
3	3
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
0	10
Passes
79% (292/371)	77% (343/443)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.70	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.00	1.09
Total shots
5	15
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
0	8
Shots inside the box
5	7
Shots outside the box
0	8
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
0	10
Touches in opposition box
10	37
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	5
Free kicks
18	11
Passes
79% (292/371)	77% (343/443)
Long passes
32% (19/59)	52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
57% (39/69)	61% (80/132)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.21	1.15
Throw ins
18	38
Fouls
11	18
Tackles
53% (8/15)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
50	61
Clearances
46	7
Interceptions
16	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.09	2.00
Goals prevented
0.09	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Hrgota B. ⚽, Elvedi J. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Knoche R. ⚽, Handwerker T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ltaief S. ↓, Futkeu N. ↑,
46', Arifi D. ↓, Dietz M. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Srbeny D. ⚽, Futkeu N. (A),
60', Corboz M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
60', Lannert C. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
60', Rochelt J. ↓, Grodowski J. ↑,
64', Handwerker T. 🟨,
69', Grodowski J. 🟨,
70', Worl M. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,
72', Dehm J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
72', Srbeny D. ↓, Marita R. ↑,
79', Momuluh T. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
88', Elvedi J. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
90+5', Futkeu N. 🟨,
90+6', Marita R. 🟨,
90+8', Mehlem M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Greuther Fürth
23.8%

Draw
25.3%

Arminia Bielefeld
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.9%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greuther Fürth's form might have worsened.

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arminia Bielefeld's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greuther Fürth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (2.87)	3.72 ↑ (3.44)	1.86 ↓ (2.27)	6% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Arminia will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arminia Bielefeld will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2.
Recent form of Fürth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arminia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Arminia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Ankle Injury) Itter G. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Klaus F. (Injury) Schlieck T. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Arminia: Felix J. (Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Greuther Fürth won against Arminia Bielefeld?

Greuther Fürth has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Greuther Fürth?

Arminia Bielefeld has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:

19.09.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth 1:3

05.05.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth 1:1

28.10.2022 Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0

Latest results of Greuther Fürth

14.02.2026 Kaiserslautern - Greuther Fürth 1:0 ✺

06.02.2026 Greuther Fürth - Magdeburg 4:5 ✺

31.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth 1:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Greuther Fürth - Eintracht Braunschweig 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld

15.02.2026 Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig 3:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 2:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

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      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga