Dynamo Dresden vs Greuther Fürth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.360.43
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
40
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Passes
82% (355/431)82% (342/418)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.360.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.00
Total shots
129
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1411
Passes
82% (355/431)82% (342/418)
Long passes
33% (19/57)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
64% (63/99)61% (51/84)
Crosses
17% (4/23)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.37
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
1114
Tackles
80% (12/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4754
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.85
Goals prevented
0.00-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Dehm J. 🟨,
  • 26', Wagner R. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Keller T. , Rossipal A. (A),
  • 40', Ziereis P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Lemmer J. , Pauli J. (A),
  • 57', Lemmer J. 🟨,
  • 59', Green J. , Dardari A. ,
  • 65', Vermeij V. 🟨,
  • 69', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 75', Hrgota B. , Srbeny D. ,
  • 76', Dehm J. , Reich L. ,
  • 76', Ceka J. , Faber K. ,
  • 76', Hauptmann N. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 80', Keller A. , Arifi D. ,
  • 80', Klaus F. , Sillah O. ,
  • 83', Dietz M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lemmer J. , Bunning L. ,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
49.3%
Draw
25.3%
Greuther Fürth
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 24.2% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.93)
    3.69
    (3.9)
    3.69
    (3.52)
    6.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 26.9%73.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Fürth (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Fürth (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 40%). Fürth (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dynamo Dresden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Menzel T. (Elbow Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden 3:2
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga