Dynamo Dresden vs Greuther Fürth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
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netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
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norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.360.43
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
40
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Passes
82% (355/431)82% (342/418)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.360.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.00
Total shots
129
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1411
Passes
82% (355/431)82% (342/418)
Long passes
33% (19/57)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
64% (63/99)61% (51/84)
Crosses
17% (4/23)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.37
Throw ins
2118
Fouls
1114
Tackles
80% (12/15)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4754
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.85
Goals prevented
0.00-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Dehm J. 🟨,
  • 26', Wagner R. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Keller T. ⚽, Rossipal A. (A),
  • 40', Ziereis P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Lemmer J. ⚽, Pauli J. (A),
  • 57', Lemmer J. 🟨,
  • 59', Green J. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
  • 65', Vermeij V. 🟨,
  • 69', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
  • 75', Hrgota B. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
  • 76', Dehm J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
  • 76', Ceka J. ↓, Faber K. ↑,
  • 76', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
  • 80', Keller A. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
  • 80', Klaus F. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
  • 83', Dietz M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lemmer J. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
49.3%		Draw
25.3%		Greuther Fürth
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 24.2% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+2%)
    •

    Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↓
    (1.93)    		 3.69 ↓
    (3.9)    		 3.69 ↑
    (3.52)    		 6.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 26.9% – 73.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Fürth (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Fürth (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 40%). Fürth (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dynamo Dresden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Menzel T. (Elbow Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Konig N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden 3:2
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    06.01.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Aarau 3:2
    20.12.2025 Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden 2:1 ✺
    12.12.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    10.01.2026 Greuther Fürth - Jahn Regensburg 0:2
    07.01.2026 Greuther Fürth - Schweinfurt 5:0
    20.12.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth 2:1 ✺
    12.12.2025 Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin 3:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth 2:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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