Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
24/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 10
  • Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.66
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
83% (404/488)79% (337/429)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.822.32
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
187
Passes
83% (404/488)79% (337/429)
Long passes
29% (14/49)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
63% (76/121)67% (66/99)
Crosses
27% (7/26)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.70
Throw-ins
2917
Fouls
718
Tackles
33% (3/9)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4341
Clearances
1037
Interceptions
1219
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.320.82
Goals prevented
-1.68-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Schleusener F. , Kobald C. (A),
  • 25', Beifus M. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Egloff L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', Wanitzek M. 🟨,
  • 58', Egloff L. , Muller A. ,
  • 69', Higl F. , Hrgota B. ,
  • 69', Abrangao D. , Green J. ,
  • 69', Keller A. , Consbruch J. ,
  • 73', Burnic D. , Kritzer M. ,
  • 74', Forster P. , Simic R. ,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Wanitzek M. , Schleusener F. (A),
  • 83', Futkeu N. , Sillah O. ,
  • 83', Dietz M. , Olesen M. ,
  • 86', Schleusener F. , Opitz L. ,
  • 86', Kobald C. , Scholl P. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Hrgota B. , Klaus F. (A),
  • 90+5', 1 - 4, Wanitzek M. , Muller A. (A),
  • 90+7', Rapp N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Greuther Fürth
31.4%
Draw
25.2%
Karlsruher
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 24.5% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 24.9% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greuther Fürth's form might have worsened.
  • Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlsruher's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greuther Fürth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlsruher, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.43)
    3.81
    (3.86)
    2.26
    (2.58)
    3.9%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 35.2%92%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Karlsruher (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 1.
    • Fürth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Karlsruher has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Bjarnason B. (Muscle Injury) Korber N. (Shoulder Injury) Munz R. (Illness) Schlieck T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Franke M. (Back Injury) Jung S. (Back Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth 1:0
    23.11.2024 Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher 2:3
    02.03.2024 Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth 4:0
    23.09.2023 Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher 4:3
    10.02.2023 Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth 2:1
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    27.09.2025 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 1:0
    21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0
    13.09.2025 Karlsruher - Nürnberg 2:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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