Result
0:2
05/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (414/496) | 79% (302/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (414/496) | 79% (302/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (95/136) | 71% (82/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, Marino S. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
- 64', Dehm J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
- 64', Ltaief S. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
- 64', Muller R. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
- 65', Klaas S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 67', Ziereis P. 🟨,
- 68', Hansen M. 🟨,
- 69', Hansen M. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
- 75', Dietz M. ↓, John M. ↑,
- 82', Marino S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 82', Scheller T. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
- 84', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 86', 0 - 2, Bilbija F. ⚽, Tigges S. (A),
- 87', Ziereis P. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
- 90+2', Bilbija F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Greuther Fürth
22.8% | Draw
24.6% | Paderborn
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Greuther Fürth - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.15 ↑
(3.85) |
3.83 ↓
(3.84) |
1.78 ↓
(1.86) |
6.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Paderborn will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 3.
- Fürth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paderborn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paderborn is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fürth: Banse S.
(Knee Injury)
John M.
(Muscle Injury)
Schlieck T.
(Muscle Injury)
Varela K.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Ankle Injury)
Copado L.
(Muscle Injury)
Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 2.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Greuther Fürth won against Paderborn?
Greuther Fürth has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Greuther Fürth?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Paderborn were as follows:
02.11.2025
Paderborn
-
Greuther Fürth
2:1
02.02.2025
Paderborn
-
Greuther Fürth
1:2
24.08.2024
Greuther Fürth
-
Paderborn
1:1
21.01.2024
Paderborn
-
Greuther Fürth
0:1
30.07.2023
Greuther Fürth
-
Paderborn
5:0
Latest results of Greuther Fürth
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 48:30 | 18 | 52 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 50:32 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hannover | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:35 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 43:33 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 48:41 | 7 | 43 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 43:52 | -9 | 37 |
| 10 | Bochum | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 31 |
| 13 | Magdeburg | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 43:51 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30:45 | -15 | 30 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 45:47 | -2 | 29 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 40:61 | -21 | 29 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
