Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 11
- Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (373/473) | 72% (290/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (373/473) | 72% (290/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 34% (24/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (81/126) | 49% (49/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Dietz M. 🟨,
- 34', Baur M. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 36', Ziereis P. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Curda L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', 2 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽, Klaas S. (A),
- 65', Marino S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 65', Klaas S. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
- 73', Futkeu N. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
- 73', Abrangao D. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
- 73', Olesen M. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
- 77', Scheller T. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
- 77', Curda L. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 82', Green J. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
- 82', Hrgota B. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
- 86', Srbeny D. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Sillah O. ⚽, Higl F. (A),
- 90+3', Worner M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
67.5% | Draw
19.5% | Greuther Fürth
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Paderborn - Greuther Fürth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.45) |
4.84 ↑
(4.56) |
7.13 ↑
(6.78) |
6.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Greuther Fürth?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Fürth will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1.
- Paderborn is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fürth is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Paderborn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paderborn is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fürth: Banse S.
(Knee Injury)
Bjarnason B.
(Muscle Injury)
Korber N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Schlieck T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Paderborn: Brackelmann C.
(Thigh Injury)
- We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:36. (average 1.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Greuther Fürth?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Greuther Fürth won against Paderborn?
Greuther Fürth has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
02.02.2025
Paderborn
-
Greuther Fürth
1:2
24.08.2024
Greuther Fürth
-
Paderborn
1:1
21.01.2024
Paderborn
-
Greuther Fürth
0:1
30.07.2023
Greuther Fürth
-
Paderborn
5:0
02.04.2023
Paderborn
-
Greuther Fürth
3:2
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Hannover | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Hertha Berlin | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 17:10 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Darmstadt | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 | Bochum | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 20:37 | -17 | 13 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 18:25 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
