Alejandro Tabilo vs Grigor Dimitrov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov
Result
1:2
10/04/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
07
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
64%69%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (37/69)77% (36/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (18/38)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (11/47)46% (32/69)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (10/21)53% (20/38)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)31% (5/16)
Winners
1728
Unforced Errors
4138
Net Points Won
40% (6/15)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
52% (55/106)69% (47/68)
Return Points Won
31% (21/68)48% (51/106)
Total Points Won
44% (76/174)56% (98/174)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
39.8%
Grigor Dimitrov
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 69.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.
  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.74)

    1.57
    (1.41)
    5.5%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 35 - 85.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 74.6%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Dimitrov (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 32. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18.
    • Recent matches Tabilo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Dimitrov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Dimitrov to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo 2:0
    24.03.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo 2:1
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2