Alejandro Tabilo vs Grigor Dimitrov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/04/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
07
Double Faults
51
1st Serve Percentage
64%69%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (37/69)77% (36/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (18/38)52% (11/21)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)40% (2/5)
1st Return Points Won
23% (11/47)46% (32/69)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (10/21)53% (20/38)
Break Points Converted
60% (3/5)31% (5/16)
Winners
1728
Unforced Errors
4138
Net Points Won
40% (6/15)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
52% (55/106)69% (47/68)
Return Points Won
31% (21/68)48% (51/106)
Total Points Won
44% (76/174)56% (98/174)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
40
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
39.8%
Grigor Dimitrov
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 69.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.
  • Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grigor Dimitrov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grigor Dimitrov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.74)

    1.57
    (1.41)
    5.5%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 14.6%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 35 - 85.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 74.6%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Dimitrov (votes: 20 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Tabilo (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 9 - 31%). Dimitrov (votes: 20 - 69%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 32. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 18.
    • Recent matches Tabilo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Dimitrov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Dimitrov to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Grigor Dimitrov were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo 2:0
    24.03.2024 Grigor Dimitrov - Alejandro Tabilo 2:1
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2